Sport Picks
Match Events
41'
41'
Limonelli C.
54'
54'
Sub
Riccardi P. In: Contini G.
Out: Riccardi P.
61'
61'
Sub
Girelli S. In: Proia F.
Out: Girelli S.
AI Match Summary
Siracusa in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siracusa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Siracusa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Casertana lately — more wins on the board than Siracusa.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Siracusa taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 68%
Casertana Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Siracusa | Casertana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.51 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Siracusa vs Casertana
4:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Siracusa
1:0
Apr 14, 2019 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Siracusa
2:1
Dec 12, 2018 Serie C - Group C
Siracusa vs Casertana
0:0
Mar 11, 2018 Serie C - Group C
Siracusa vs Casertana
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Siracusa Compare
Top Goalscorer Limonelli C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Valente N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.76
Casertana Compare
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Siracusa 50 / 100
Casertana 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Siracusa Casertana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Siracusa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Siracusa scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Casertana let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Siracusa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Siracusa VS Casertana
1.14 Goals Scored 1.88
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.88
43% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Siracusa
(Home) 04 Oct
Milazzo
1 : 0 Siracusa
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0 ASD Modica Calcio
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0 Siracusa
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1 Gela
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1 Siracusa
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0 ASD Modica Calcio
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1 Gela
06 Sept
Siracusa
4 : 2 Athletic Palermo
19 Apr
Siracusa
1 : 1 Cavese
04 Apr
Siracusa
3 : 3 Atalanta U23
Page 1 of 3
Casertana
(Away) 03 Oct
Cavese
2 : 0 Casertana
27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2 Catania
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0 Casertana
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0 Altamura
12 Sept
Inter U23
2 : 3 Casertana
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Cavese
2 : 0 Casertana
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0 Casertana
12 Sept
Inter U23
2 : 3 Casertana
29 Aug
A.C. Savoia
1 : 2 Casertana
13 May
Salernitana
1 : 1 Casertana
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
