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Siracusa vs Locri 1909 Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Pistolesi F.
23' Event
Alma G.
38' Event
Maggio D.

AI Match Summary

Siracusa in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 7-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siracusa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Siracusa
35%
Draws
10%
Locri 1909
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Siracusa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Siracusa have won more games recently than Locri 1909.
  • Win probability leans Siracusa's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Siracusa have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 20%
Locri 1909 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siracusa Locri 1909
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.58 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Siracusa vs Locri 1909
7:0
Oct 20, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Siracusa
2:0
Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Siracusa
1:3
Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Siracusa vs Locri 1909
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siracusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Pistolesi F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alma G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Locri 1909 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siracusa 76 / 100
Locri 1909 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siracusa Locri 1909

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siracusa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Locri 1909 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Siracusa stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Siracusa scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Siracusa VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Siracusa

(Home)
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
06 Sept
Siracusa
4 : 2
Athletic Palermo
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Locri 1909

(Away)
04 May
Locri 1909
1 : 1
AS Acireale
27 Apr
Enna
1 : 1
Locri 1909
17 Apr
Locri 1909
2 : 3
Reggina
13 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Locri 1909
06 Apr
Locri 1909
1 : 2
S. Agata
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)