Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Siracusa vs Picerno

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Nicola De Simone, Siracusa
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Abreu L.
46'
Sub
Bassoli A. In: Del Fabro D.
Out: Bassoli A.
46' Event
Arditi G.

AI Match Summary

Siracusa in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siracusa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Siracusa
35%
Draws
46%
Picerno
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Picerno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Picerno lately — more wins on the board than Siracusa.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 20%
Picerno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siracusa Picerno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Siracusa vs Picerno
2:1
Nov 15, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Siracusa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siracusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Arditi G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gudelevicius E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Picerno Compare

Top Goalscorer Abreu L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siracusa 32 / 100
Picerno 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siracusa Picerno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Picerno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siracusa found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Picerno conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Siracusa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Siracusa VS Picerno
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Siracusa

(Home)
26 Apr
Trapani
2 : 2
Siracusa
19 Apr
Siracusa
1 : 1
Cavese
12 Apr
Foggia
1 : 1
Siracusa
04 Apr
Siracusa
3 : 3
Atalanta U23
29 Mar
Altamura
1 : 0
Siracusa
Page 1 of 6

Picerno

(Away)
01 Sept
Bari
2 : 1
Picerno
28 Aug
Scafatese
0 : 2
Picerno
23 Aug
Picerno
3 : 2
A.C. Savoia
14 Aug
Picerno
2 : 1
Barletta
26 Apr
Picerno
0 : 0
Sorrento
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)