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Sirius vs Degerfors

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Studenternas IP, Uppsala
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Faqa A.
Own Goal
12'
Sub
Karlsson K. In: Yiriyon G.
Out: Karlsson K.
16'
Uneken J.

AI Match Summary

Sirius in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sirius.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sirius
15%
Draws
34%
Degerfors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sirius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Degerfors haven't matched Sirius's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sirius Clean Sheet 18%
Degerfors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sirius Degerfors
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 20 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2.38 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Degerfors
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Sirius
0:3
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Sirius vs Degerfors
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Degerfors
1:3
May 3, 2025 Allsvenskan
Degerfors vs Sirius
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sirius Compare

Top Goalscorer Heier M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Degerfors Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sirius 31 / 100
Degerfors 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sirius Degerfors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sirius Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sirius scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Degerfors let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Sirius remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sirius VS Degerfors
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sirius

(Home)
14 Sept
Sirius
2 : 0
Degerfors
05 Sept
Vasteras SK
0 : 1
Sirius
31 Aug
Sirius
0 : 1
Malmo FF
26 Aug
Friska Viljor
0 : 2
Sirius
21 Aug
Sirius
0 : 3
Hacken
Page 1 of 6

Degerfors

(Away)
14 Sept
Sirius
2 : 0
Degerfors
05 Sept
Degerfors
2 : 0
Halmstad
29 Aug
Elfsborg
2 : 0
Degerfors
23 Aug
Brommapojkarna
2 : 0
Degerfors
19 Aug
IFK Ostersund
1 : 5
Degerfors
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 21 15 3 3 50:27 48
2 Djurgarden 21 13 2 6 46:19 41
3 Hammarby 21 12 4 5 48:20 40
4 Elfsborg 21 9 7 5 29:21 34
5 Malmo FF 21 10 3 8 37:31 33
6 Hacken 21 8 9 4 34:30 33
7 AIK 21 9 6 6 30:32 33
8 Vasteras SK 21 9 5 7 32:35 32
9 IFK Goteborg 21 8 5 8 30:41 29
10 GAIS 21 7 6 8 25:20 27
11 Brommapojkarna 21 7 6 8 30:35 27
12 Mjallby 21 5 7 9 27:35 22
13 Kalmar 21 5 4 12 21:31 19
14 Degerfors 21 5 4 12 19:33 19
15 Orgryte 21 3 6 12 24:47 15
16 Halmstad 21 2 5 14 14:39 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)