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Stadium Background

Sirius vs Malmo FF

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Studenternas IP, Uppsala
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Anker T.
34'
Garcia D.
43'
Soumah M.

AI Match Summary

Malmo FF in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malmo FF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sirius
15%
Draws
59%
Malmo FF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malmo FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sirius have won more games recently than Malmo FF.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Malmo FF taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Sirius Clean Sheet 16%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sirius Malmo FF
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.45 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Malmo FF
0:1
Apr 23, 2026 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Sirius
2:3
Oct 5, 2025 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Malmo FF
5:1
Apr 18, 2025 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Sirius
1:1
Jul 27, 2024 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Sirius
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sirius Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Malmo FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sirius 28 / 100
Malmo FF 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sirius Malmo FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malmo FF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sirius found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Malmo FF let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Sirius stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sirius VS Malmo FF
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sirius

(Home)
31 Aug
Sirius
0 : 1
Malmo FF
26 Aug
Friska Viljor
0 : 2
Sirius
21 Aug
Sirius
0 : 3
Hacken
15 Aug
Mjallby
4 : 3
Sirius
10 Aug
Sirius
2 : 2
Brommapojkarna
Page 1 of 6

Malmo FF

(Away)
31 Aug
Sirius
0 : 1
Malmo FF
27 Aug
Lindo FF
1 : 5
Malmo FF
24 Aug
Malmo FF
0 : 3
Djurgarden
16 Aug
GAIS
0 : 1
Malmo FF
09 Aug
Malmo FF
1 : 2
Degerfors
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 19 13 3 3 47:27 42
2 Hammarby 19 11 3 5 44:18 36
3 Djurgarden 18 10 2 6 41:19 32
4 Elfsborg 19 8 7 4 27:19 31
5 Hacken 19 8 7 4 33:29 31
6 AIK 18 9 4 5 28:27 31
7 Malmo FF 19 9 2 8 33:30 29
8 Vasteras SK 19 8 5 6 28:33 29
9 GAIS 19 7 5 7 25:18 26
10 Brommapojkarna 19 6 6 7 27:31 24
11 IFK Goteborg 19 6 5 8 24:39 23
12 Mjallby 17 5 5 7 24:27 20
13 Kalmar 19 5 4 10 21:29 19
14 Degerfors 19 4 4 11 17:31 16
15 Orgryte 19 3 5 11 22:42 14
16 Halmstad 19 2 5 12 13:35 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)