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Sirius vs Malmo FF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Studenternas IP, Uppsala
Sirius Logo

Sirius

0 - 1
FT
Malmo FF Logo

Malmo FF

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Anker T.
34'
Garcia D.
43'
Soumah M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Malmo FF in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malmo FF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sirius
20%
Draws
40%
Malmo FF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sirius have won more games recently than Malmo FF.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Sirius Clean Sheet 20%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sirius Malmo FF
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.04 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Malmo FF
0:1
Apr 23, 2026 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Sirius
2:3
Oct 5, 2025 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Malmo FF
5:1
Apr 18, 2025 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Sirius
1:1
Jul 27, 2024 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Sirius
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sirius Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Malmo FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sirius 36 / 100
Malmo FF 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sirius Malmo FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malmo FF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sirius found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Malmo FF let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Sirius stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sirius VS Malmo FF
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sirius

(Home)
03 Nov
Sirius
2 : 0
Halmstad
29 Oct
Hammarby
2 : 0
Sirius
24 Oct
Sirius
1 : 2
AIK
18 Oct
Sirius
2 : 2
Elfsborg
10 Oct
GAIS
0 : 1
Sirius
Page 1 of 6

Malmo FF

(Away)
01 Nov
Malmo FF
1 : 2
Hammarby
28 Oct
Halmstad
0 : 3
Malmo FF
23 Oct
Elfsborg
0 : 0
Malmo FF
18 Oct
Malmo FF
0 : 1
Hacken
12 Oct
Malmo FF
1 : 0
Kalmar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 27 18 4 5 58:34 58
2 Hammarby 27 17 4 6 56:22 55
3 Djurgarden 27 16 4 7 55:25 52
4 Hacken 27 13 10 4 48:30 49
5 Elfsborg 27 12 10 5 41:27 46
6 Vasteras SK 27 13 5 9 40:38 44
7 Malmo FF 27 12 4 11 42:36 40
8 AIK 27 10 8 9 43:47 38
9 IFK Goteborg 27 10 8 9 36:46 38
10 GAIS 27 10 7 10 34:27 37
11 Brommapojkarna 27 9 7 11 39:44 34
12 Mjallby 27 6 9 12 30:43 27
13 Kalmar 27 6 5 16 23:42 23
14 Degerfors 27 5 5 17 22:46 20
15 Orgryte 27 4 7 16 33:60 19
16 Halmstad 27 4 5 18 18:51 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)