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Stadium Background

Sirius vs Mjallby

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Studenternas IP, Uppsala
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ure R.
Assist: Lindberg M.
46' Event
Ure R.
Assist: Bjerkebo I.
49'
Gustavsson J.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Sirius and Mjallby finished 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sirius
20%
Draws
23%
Mjallby
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sirius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sirius come out ahead of Mjallby on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sirius a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Sirius Clean Sheet 16%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sirius Mjallby
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 20 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.61 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs Sirius
4:3
Jul 3, 2026 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Mjallby
4:4
Jul 27, 2025 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs Sirius
2:1
Jul 14, 2025 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Mjallby
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Mjallby
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sirius Compare

Top Goalscorer Ure R.
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Mjallby Compare

Top Goalscorer Samuelsen A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Svanberg L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sirius 75 / 100
Mjallby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sirius Mjallby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sirius Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sirius scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Mjallby conceded in 69% of 26 recent games.

Sirius went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sirius VS Mjallby
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sirius

(Home)
15 Aug
Mjallby
4 : 3
Sirius
10 Aug
Sirius
2 : 2
Brommapojkarna
03 Aug
Halmstad
0 : 2
Sirius
26 Jul
Sirius
4 : 1
IFK Goteborg
19 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 3
Sirius
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Mjallby

(Away)
15 Aug
Mjallby
4 : 3
Sirius
11 Aug
Slovan Bratislava
2 : 0
Mjallby
08 Aug
Mjallby
0 : 1
Elfsborg
04 Aug
Mjallby
1 : 2
Slovan Bratislava
28 Jul
Lincoln Red Imps
0 : 0
Mjallby
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 17 13 3 1 47:23 42
2 Hammarby 17 10 3 4 40:15 33
3 Hacken 17 7 7 3 29:26 28
4 AIK 17 8 4 5 25:25 28
5 Elfsborg 17 7 6 4 24:18 27
6 Djurgarden 16 8 2 6 34:19 26
7 Malmo FF 17 8 2 7 32:27 26
8 Vasteras SK 17 7 4 6 25:32 25
9 GAIS 17 6 5 6 21:16 23
10 Brommapojkarna 17 5 6 6 25:27 21
11 Mjallby 16 5 5 6 24:23 20
12 IFK Goteborg 17 5 4 8 22:38 19
13 Kalmar 17 5 3 9 21:28 18
14 Degerfors 17 4 4 9 17:27 16
15 Orgryte 17 3 4 10 21:40 13
16 Halmstad 17 1 4 12 11:34 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)