Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Mokio J.
23'
23'
Baas Y.
35'
35'
Brandt J.
AI Match Summary
Ajax in this Eredivisie matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ajax.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
30%
40%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ajax
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Sittard haven't matched Ajax's recent run of results.
- Ajax are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Ajax here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Sittard Clean Sheet 10%
Ajax Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sittard | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 2.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Eredivisie
Sittard vs Ajax
1:5
Feb 14, 2026 Eredivisie
Ajax vs Sittard
4:1
Dec 6, 2025 Eredivisie
Sittard vs Ajax
1:3
Feb 9, 2025 Eredivisie
Sittard vs Ajax
0:2
Sep 18, 2024 Eredivisie
Ajax vs Sittard
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sittard Compare
Top Goalscorer Descotte A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Ajax Compare
Top Goalscorer Brandt J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kehrer T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sittard 26 / 100
Ajax 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sittard Ajax
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ajax Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:10
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sittard scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Sittard went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Ajax conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Sittard VS Ajax
1.75 Goals Scored 2.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sittard
(Home) 31 Oct
Feyenoord
1 : 1 Sittard
28 Oct
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 3 Sittard
25 Oct
Sittard
1 : 0 Excelsior
18 Oct
Nijmegen
2 : 2 Sittard
10 Oct
Sittard
1 : 1 Twente
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Sittard
1 : 0 Excelsior
10 Oct
Sittard
1 : 1 Twente
12 Sept
Sittard
1 : 5 Ajax
22 Aug
Sittard
0 : 2 AZ Alkmaar
15 Aug
Sittard
3 : 1 Cambuur
Page 1 of 3
Ajax
(Away) 31 Oct
Ajax
1 : 0 AZ Alkmaar
25 Oct
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 2 Ajax
22 Oct
Ajax
2 : 0 Atalanta
18 Oct
Groningen
2 : 5 Ajax
15 Oct
Hajduk Split
2 : 1 Ajax
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25 Oct
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 2 Ajax
18 Oct
Groningen
2 : 5 Ajax
15 Oct
Hajduk Split
2 : 1 Ajax
12 Sept
Sittard
1 : 5 Ajax
30 Aug
Telstar
0 : 4 Ajax
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Ajax | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 | PSV | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Twente | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 20 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 | Sittard | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 | Groningen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 24:21 | 15 |
| 9 | Cambuur | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 | G.A. Eagles | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 | Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:27 | 12 |
| 12 | Excelsior | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | 11 |
| 13 | Nijmegen | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:24 | 9 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 16 | Telstar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | 6 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:23 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
