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Sittard vs NAC Breda Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
Sittard Logo

Sittard

1 - 1
FT
NAC Breda Logo

NAC Breda

Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Peterson K.
23'
Adewoye S.
37'
Sub
Holtby L. In: Nassoh M.
Out: Holtby L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Eredivisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Sittard
15%
Draws
37%
NAC Breda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sittard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sittard lately — more wins on the board than NAC Breda.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Eredivisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Sittard Clean Sheet 11%
NAC Breda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sittard NAC Breda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Eredivisie
Sittard vs NAC Breda
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 Eredivisie
NAC Breda vs Sittard
2:1
May 10, 2025 Eredivisie
Sittard vs NAC Breda
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Eredivisie
NAC Breda vs Sittard
1:0
Apr 21, 2019 Eredivisie
Sittard vs NAC Breda
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sittard Compare

Top Goalscorer Peterson K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

NAC Breda Compare

Top Goalscorer Nassoh M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sittard 35 / 100
NAC Breda 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sittard NAC Breda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Breda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sittard scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

NAC Breda has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Sittard remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sittard VS NAC Breda
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sittard

(Home)
19 Sept
Willem II
0 : 1
Sittard
12 Sept
Sittard
1 : 5
Ajax
06 Sept
Den Haag
2 : 3
Sittard
28 Aug
Groningen
2 : 3
Sittard
22 Aug
Sittard
0 : 2
AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 6

NAC Breda

(Away)
26 Sept
NAC Breda
4 : 2
Eindhoven FC
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2
NAC Breda
11 Sept
NAC Breda
2 : 3
Jong Utrecht
04 Sept
Waalwijk
4 : 2
NAC Breda
28 Aug
Roda
2 : 2
NAC Breda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV 34 27 3 4 101:45 84
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 70:44 65
3 Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 77:53 59
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 59:40 58
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 62:41 56
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 55:42 53
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 58:51 52
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 57:53 51
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 49:45 48
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 40:62 43
11 Sittard 34 11 6 17 49:63 39
12 G.A. Eagles 34 8 14 12 54:53 38
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 43:56 38
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 49:55 37
15 Zwolle 34 9 10 15 44:71 37
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 35:55 32
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 35:58 29
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 35:85 19
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)