Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sittard vs Telstar

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
Sittard Logo

Sittard

1 - 4
FT
Telstar Logo

Telstar

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Brouwer P.
7' Event
Thorisson N.
Assist: Hardeveld J.
22' Event
Sierhuis K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie 2025/2026 game between Sittard and Telstar finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Telstar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Sittard
15%
Draws
32%
Telstar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sittard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Sittard carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sittard are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Sittard Clean Sheet 16%
Telstar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sittard Telstar
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.55 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Eredivisie
Sittard vs Telstar
1:4
Sep 14, 2025 Eredivisie
Telstar vs Sittard
1:3
Feb 16, 2018 Eerste Divisie
Sittard vs Telstar
1:1
Sep 29, 2017 Eerste Divisie
Telstar vs Sittard
0:6
Jan 20, 2017 Eerste Divisie
Sittard vs Telstar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sittard Compare

Top Goalscorer Sierhuis K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Telstar Compare

Top Goalscorer Brouwer P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Thorisson N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sittard 84 / 100
Telstar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sittard Telstar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sittard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sittard scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Telstar let in goals in 93% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sittard remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sittard VS Telstar
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sittard

(Home)
28 Aug
Groningen
2 : 3
Sittard
22 Aug
Sittard
0 : 2
AZ Alkmaar
15 Aug
Sittard
3 : 1
Cambuur
08 Aug
PSV
2 : 2
Sittard
31 Jul
Sittard
2 : 1
APOEL
Page 1 of 6

Telstar

(Away)
30 Aug
Telstar
0 : 4
Ajax
14 Aug
Telstar
1 : 3
Sparta Rotterdam
08 Aug
Nijmegen
1 : 2
Telstar
31 Jul
Wolfsburg
3 : 1
Telstar
17 Jul
De Graafschap
3 : 6
Telstar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV 34 27 3 4 101:45 84
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 70:44 65
3 Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 77:53 59
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 59:40 58
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 62:41 56
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 55:42 53
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 58:51 52
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 57:53 51
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 49:45 48
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 40:62 43
11 Sittard 34 11 6 17 49:63 39
12 G.A. Eagles 34 8 14 12 54:53 38
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 43:56 38
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 49:55 37
15 Zwolle 34 9 10 15 44:71 37
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 35:55 32
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 35:58 29
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 35:85 19
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)