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Sivas Dort vs Amasyaspor

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sivas Dort play Amasyaspor in the Turkish Cup 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sivas Dort averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Amasyaspor averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. In past meetings, Sivas Dort won 1, Amasyaspor won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 27, 2023 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Sivas Dort and 1.11 for Amasyaspor. This points to a Sivas Dort double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sivas Dort
18%
Draws
40%
Amasyaspor
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Sivas Dort

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Sivas Dort picked up more points recently compared to Amasyaspor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Sivas Dort Clean Sheet 21%
Amasyaspor Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sivas Dort Amasyaspor
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.83 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.26

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2023 Turkish Cup
Sivas Dort vs Amasyaspor
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sivas Dort Compare

Top Goalscorer Gundak S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aygur A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Amasyaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sivas Dort 42 / 100
Amasyaspor 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sivas Dort Amasyaspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sivas Dort or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sivas Dort attacking → ← attacking Amasyaspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sivas Dort scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Amasyaspor let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sivas Dort went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Amasyaspor lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 33
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88