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Sivas Dort vs Karakopru

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sivas Dort play Karakopru in the 3. Lig Group 3 2023/2024. Karakopru are favorites here. Recently, Sivas Dort averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Karakopru averaged 1.68 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, Sivas Dort won 0, Karakopru won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 27, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Sivas Dort and 1.43 for Karakopru. This points to a Karakopru double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sivas Dort
19%
Draws
58%
Karakopru
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Karakopru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Sivas Dort picked up more points recently compared to Karakopru.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Sivas Dort Clean Sheet 17%
Karakopru Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sivas Dort Karakopru
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 6 19
Draws 5 8
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.35

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 3. Lig Group 3
Sivas Dort vs Karakopru
1:1
Dec 20, 2023 3. Lig Group 3
Karakopru vs Sivas Dort
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sivas Dort Compare

Top Goalscorer Senturk O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Karakopru Compare

Top Goalscorer Gayla A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sivas Dort 24 / 100
Karakopru 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sivas Dort Karakopru

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karakopru Win (2)
Secondary Pick Karakopru & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sivas Dort attacking → ← attacking Karakopru

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sivas Dort scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Karakopru let in goals in 70% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Sivas Dort went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Karakopru lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 65
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Karakopru28179251:2460
2Erbaaspor28169355:2157
3Silivrispor28149538:2251
4Bornova 187728155847:3350
5Kusadasispor28129736:2845
6Kutahyaspor281111640:2544
7Tepecik28109929:3039
8Agri 197028109936:3539
9Fatsa Bld.28910924:2737
10Osmaniyespor28851529:3429
111922 Konyaspor28771425:3028
12Bayburt Ozel Idare286101218:3828
13Darica Genclerbirligi28671518:3325
14Akhisarspor28541925:6719
15Sivas Dort28551822:4617