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Sivasspor vs Bucak Belediyesi

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2013/2014 Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu
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AI Match Summary

Sivasspor play Bucak Belediyesi in the Turkish Cup 2013/2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sivasspor averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Bucak Belediyesi averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Sivasspor won 1, Bucak Belediyesi won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 2, 2013 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Sivasspor and 1.06 for Bucak Belediyesi. This points to a Sivasspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Sivasspor
15%
Draws
32%
Bucak Belediyesi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sivasspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Sivasspor picked up more points recently compared to Bucak Belediyesi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Sivasspor Clean Sheet 22%
Bucak Belediyesi Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sivasspor Bucak Belediyesi
Matches Played 31 15
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 0
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.39 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.93

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2013 Turkish Cup
Sivasspor vs Bucak Belediyesi
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sivasspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Arslan H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Djebbour R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bucak Belediyesi Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sivasspor 52 / 100
Bucak Belediyesi 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sivasspor Bucak Belediyesi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sivasspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Sivasspor & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sivasspor attacking → ← attacking Bucak Belediyesi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sivasspor scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Bucak Belediyesi let in goals in 87% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Sivasspor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Bucak Belediyesi lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 18
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00