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Sivasspor vs Keciorengucu

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sivasspor play Keciorengucu in the 1. Lig. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sivasspor averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Keciorengucu averaged 2.21 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, Sivasspor won 2, Keciorengucu won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Sivasspor and 1.63 for Keciorengucu. This points to a Keciorengucu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Sivasspor
22%
Draws
40%
Keciorengucu
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Keciorengucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Sivasspor picked up more points recently compared to Keciorengucu.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Sivasspor Clean Sheet 14%
Keciorengucu Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sivasspor Keciorengucu
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 12 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.27 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 1. Lig
Sivasspor vs Keciorengucu
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 1. Lig
Keciorengucu vs Sivasspor
0:0
Dec 18, 2024 Turkish Cup
Keciorengucu vs Sivasspor
1:4
Jan 18, 2024 Turkish Cup
Sivasspor vs Keciorengucu
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sivasspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Keciorengucu Compare

Top Goalscorer Roshi O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sivasspor 37 / 100
Keciorengucu 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sivasspor Keciorengucu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Keciorengucu or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sivasspor attacking → ← attacking Keciorengucu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sivasspor scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Keciorengucu let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Sivasspor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Keciorengucu lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 57
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54