Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Siwelele vs Richards Bay

South Africa South Africa

Nedbank Cup
Sun, Feb 8, 2026
3 - 4
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Margeman G.
72' Event
Mahala L.
92' Event
Mahala L.

AI Match Summary

Richards Bay in this Nedbank Cup tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Siwelele
20%
Draws
38%
Richards Bay
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Siwelele

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Richards Bay have won more games recently than Siwelele.
  • Model gives Siwelele a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Richards Bay arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Richards Bay, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Siwelele Clean Sheet 68%
Richards Bay Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Siwelele Richards Bay
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 13 12
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Nedbank Cup
Siwelele vs Richards Bay
3:4
Jan 23, 2026 Betway Premiership
Richards Bay vs Siwelele
1:1
Aug 29, 2025 Betway Premiership
Siwelele vs Richards Bay
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Siwelele Compare

Top Goalscorer Margeman G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luthuli S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Richards Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahala L.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Siwelele 51 / 100
Richards Bay 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Siwelele Richards Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Richards Bay has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Siwelele went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Siwelele scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Siwelele VS Richards Bay
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Siwelele

(Home)
23 May
Sekhukhune
2 : 2
Siwelele
16 May
Siwelele
1 : 0
Magesi
09 May
Mamelodi Sundowns
7 : 4
Siwelele
05 May
Siwelele
2 : 2
Durban City
29 Apr
Siwelele
2 : 0
Kaizer Chiefs
Page 1 of 6

Richards Bay

(Away)
25 Jul
Durban City
1 : 2
Richards Bay
23 May
Magesi
1 : 0
Richards Bay
16 May
Richards Bay
1 : 1
Sekhukhune
09 May
Marumo Gallants
1 : 1
Richards Bay
06 May
Richards Bay
0 : 0
Polokwane City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
TS Galaxy-
TBD-
TBD-
Marumo Gallants-
Mamelodi Sundowns-
TBD-
The Bees0
Gomora United1
Cardinals-
TBD-
TBD-
Jacksa Spears-
Vasco Da Gama-
TBD-
TBD-
Luthuli Brigades-
Hungry Lions2
Venda1
Leicesterford City1
Pretoria U.2
Kruger United0
Highbury3
TBD-
Sekhukhune-
SSU M-17-
TBD-
Milford2
Baroka0
Mkhambathi-
TBD-
Lerumo Lions1
Midlands Wanderers0
Golden Arrows-
TBD-
TBD-
Orbit College-
Stellenbosch FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Kaizer Chiefs-
Cape Town City0
Upington City1
TBD-
Magesi-
Durban City-
TBD-
TBD-
Chippa Utd.-
Polokwane City-
TBD-
TBD-
AmaZulu-
Siwelele-
TBD-
TBD-
Richards Bay-
Army Rocket-
TBD-
Black Leopards0
Casric Stars1
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila-
TBD-
TBD-
Orlando Pirates-
1/16-finals
TS Galaxy1
Marumo Gallants0
Mamelodi Sundowns2
Gomora United1
Cardinals2
Jacksa Spears4
Vasco Da Gama4
Luthuli Brigades1
Hungry Lions1
Pretoria U.2
Highbury0
Sekhukhune1
SSU M-171
Milford2
Mkhambathi2
Lerumo Lions1
Golden Arrows3
Orbit College0
Stellenbosch FC2
Kaizer Chiefs1
Upington City1
Magesi0
Durban City1
Chippa Utd.0
Polokwane City1
AmaZulu2
Siwelele3
Richards Bay4
Army Rocket0
Casric Stars3
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila1
Orlando Pirates4
1/8-finals
TS Galaxy2
Mamelodi Sundowns0
Jacksa Spears1
Vasco Da Gama0
Pretoria U.0
Sekhukhune1
Milford3
Mkhambathi0
Golden Arrows1
Stellenbosch FC0
Upington City0
Durban City1
AmaZulu1
Richards Bay0
Casric Stars1
Orlando Pirates0
Quarter-finals
TS Galaxy2
Jacksa Spears0
Sekhukhune2
Milford3
Golden Arrows1
Durban City2
AmaZulu1
Casric Stars2
Semi-finals
TS Galaxy2
Milford1
Durban City1
Casric Stars0
Final
TS Galaxy1
Durban City2