Sport Picks
Siwelele vs Richards Bay
South Africa
Nedbank Cup 
Match Events
20'
20'
Margeman G.
72'
72'
Mahala L.
92'
92'
Mahala L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-4. This leg finished 3-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Richards Bay average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of Siwelele's 0.97.
- Model gives Siwelele a 36% chance of winning this.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Richards Bay, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Siwelele Clean Sheet 68%
Richards Bay Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Siwelele | Richards Bay |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 15 | 13 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 Nedbank Cup
Siwelele vs Richards Bay
3:4
Jan 23, 2026 Betway Premiership
Richards Bay vs Siwelele
1:1
Aug 29, 2025 Betway Premiership
Siwelele vs Richards Bay
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Siwelele Compare
Top Goalscorer Margeman G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Luthuli S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Richards Bay Compare
Top Goalscorer Mahala L.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Siwelele 46 / 100
Richards Bay 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Siwelele Richards Bay
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Siwelele scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Richards Bay conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Richards Bay lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Siwelele VS Richards Bay
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Siwelele
(Home) 13 Sept
Siwelele
1 : 1 Golden Arrows
09 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
3 : 0 Siwelele
06 Sept
Kaizer Chiefs
3 : 2 Siwelele
25 Aug
Siwelele
1 : 1 Chippa Utd.
15 Aug
AmaZulu
2 : 0 Siwelele
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Siwelele
1 : 1 Golden Arrows
25 Aug
Siwelele
1 : 1 Chippa Utd.
02 Aug
Siwelele
2 : 2 TS Galaxy
16 May
Siwelele
1 : 0 Magesi
05 May
Siwelele
2 : 2 Durban City
Page 1 of 3
Richards Bay
(Away) 19 Sept
Richards Bay
2 : 3 Sekhukhune
13 Sept
Milford
5 : 1 Richards Bay
04 Sept
Richards Bay
1 : 2 AmaZulu
26 Aug
Richards Bay
2 : 2 Kaizer Chiefs
15 Aug
Durban City
1 : 1 Richards Bay
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Milford
5 : 1 Richards Bay
15 Aug
Durban City
1 : 1 Richards Bay
11 Aug
Chippa Utd.
1 : 1 Richards Bay
25 Jul
Durban City
1 : 2 Richards Bay
23 May
Magesi
1 : 0 Richards Bay
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
TS Galaxy -
TBD -
TBD -
Marumo Gallants -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
TBD -
The Bees 0
Gomora United 1
Cardinals -
TBD -
TBD -
Jacksa Spears -
Vasco Da Gama -
TBD -
TBD -
Luthuli Brigades -
Hungry Lions 2
Venda 1
Leicesterford City 1
Pretoria U. 2
Kruger United 0
Highbury 3
TBD -
Sekhukhune -
SSU M-17 -
TBD -
Milford 2
Baroka 0
Mkhambathi -
TBD -
Lerumo Lions 1
Midlands Wanderers 0
Golden Arrows -
TBD -
TBD -
Orbit College -
Stellenbosch FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Cape Town City 0
Upington City 1
TBD -
Magesi -
Durban City -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippa Utd. -
Polokwane City -
TBD -
TBD -
AmaZulu -
Siwelele -
TBD -
TBD -
Richards Bay -
Army Rocket -
TBD -
Black Leopards 0
Real Native 1
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando Pirates -
1/16-finals
TS Galaxy 1
Marumo Gallants 0
Mamelodi Sundowns 2
Gomora United 1
Cardinals 2
Jacksa Spears 4
Vasco Da Gama 4
Luthuli Brigades 1
Hungry Lions 1
Pretoria U. 2
Highbury 0
Sekhukhune 1
SSU M-17 1
Milford 2
Mkhambathi 2
Lerumo Lions 1
Golden Arrows 3
Orbit College 0
Stellenbosch FC 2
Kaizer Chiefs 1
Upington City 1
Magesi 0
Durban City 1
Chippa Utd. 0
Polokwane City 1
AmaZulu 2
Siwelele 3
Richards Bay 4
Army Rocket 0
Real Native 3
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 1
Orlando Pirates 4
1/8-finals
TS Galaxy 2
Mamelodi Sundowns 0
Jacksa Spears 1
Vasco Da Gama 0
Pretoria U. 0
Sekhukhune 1
Milford 3
Mkhambathi 0
Golden Arrows 1
Stellenbosch FC 0
Upington City 0
Durban City 1
AmaZulu 1
Richards Bay 0
Real Native 1
Orlando Pirates 0
Quarter-finals
TS Galaxy 2
Jacksa Spears 0
Sekhukhune 2
Milford 3
Golden Arrows 1
Durban City 2
AmaZulu 1
Real Native 2
Semi-finals
TS Galaxy 2
Milford 1
Durban City 1
Real Native 0
Final
TS Galaxy 1
Durban City 2
