Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SJK vs Mariehamn

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga OmaSp Stadion, Seinajoki
SJK Logo

SJK

2 - 1
FT
Mariehamn Logo

Mariehamn

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Bergvik A.
46'
Sub
Vesterbacka L. In: Cisse A.
Out: Vesterbacka L.
46'
Sub
Mastokangas E. In: Bostrom A.
Out: Mastokangas E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between SJK and Mariehamn finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SJK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
SJK
30%
Draws
42%
Mariehamn
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mariehamn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • SJK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mariehamn's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • SJK have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
SJK Clean Sheet 17%
Mariehamn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SJK Mariehamn
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.48 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Veikkausliiga
SJK vs Mariehamn
2:1
Aug 15, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs SJK
2:0
Apr 10, 2026 Veikkausliiga
SJK vs Mariehamn
3:0
Jun 28, 2025 Veikkausliiga
SJK vs Mariehamn
4:1
Apr 19, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs SJK
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SJK Compare

Top Goalscorer Souza K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bostrom A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Mariehamn Compare

Top Goalscorer Bergvik A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SJK 20 / 100
Mariehamn 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SJK Mariehamn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mariehamn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mariehamn conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

SJK found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: SJK remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SJK VS Mariehamn
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SJK

(Home)
18 Sept
SJK
2 : 1
Mariehamn
12 Sept
Jaro
1 : 1
SJK
08 Sept
TPS
0 : 0
SJK
31 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 0
SJK
21 Aug
SJK
1 : 2
Lahti
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Mariehamn

(Away)
18 Sept
SJK
2 : 1
Mariehamn
12 Sept
Mariehamn
1 : 0
TPS
08 Sept
Lahti
2 : 1
Mariehamn
31 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
Jaro
23 Aug
KuPS
2 : 4
Mariehamn
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Lahti 25 10 6 9 30:24 36
8 Ilves 25 10 4 11 42:38 34
9 TPS 25 8 8 9 28:27 32
10 SJK 25 5 9 11 28:35 24
11 Mariehamn 25 4 5 16 20:47 17
12 Jaro 25 3 8 14 20:48 17
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga 2027 (Main)