Sport Picks

Finland

Veikkausliiga OmaSp Stadion

Match Events

18'

Onuoha E.

29'

Souza K.

36'

Paananen K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SJK host TPS in the Veikkausliiga. Little to choose between these two on current form. TPS have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while SJK have conceded 1.75 and scored 1.75. Past meetings favor SJK slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.25, favoring SJK. SJK in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

SJK

17%

Draws

13%

TPS

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: SJK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

TPS has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to SJK.
Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for SJK.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Veikkausliiga provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

SJK Clean Sheet 19%

TPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SJK	TPS
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	11	14
Draws	7	6
Losses	12	14
Goals Scored	1.75	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Veikkausliiga

SJK vs TPS

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 3 - 4

3:1

Apr 18, 2026 Veikkausliiga

TPS vs SJK

Possession: 57% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly

SJK vs TPS

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 0 - 2

1:1

Mar 8, 2025 Club Friendly

SJK vs TPS

Possession: 56% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Mar 11, 2023 Club Friendly

SJK vs TPS

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SJK Compare

Top Goalscorer Souza K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Yakubu S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

TPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Muzaci A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SJK 67 / 100

TPS 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SJK TPS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SJK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SJK scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

TPS let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

SJK went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

TPS lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SJK VS TPS

1.75 Goals Scored 0.75

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 38%

75% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	15	8	6	1	27:15	30
2	Inter Turku	15	8	6	1	23:12	30
3	AC Oulu	14	8	2	4	20:15	26
4	VPS	14	6	6	2	21:11	24
5	HJK	14	6	4	4	25:17	22
6	Gnistan	14	5	4	5	19:18	19
7	TPS	14	5	4	5	16:16	19
8	Lahti	14	4	4	6	16:15	16
9	Ilves	15	4	4	7	25:29	16
10	SJK	14	3	5	6	18:22	14
11	Jaro	15	2	5	8	15:32	11
12	Mariehamn	14	0	4	10	6:29	4