Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SJK vs VPS

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga OmaSp Stadion, Seinajoki
1 - 2
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Streng J.
Assist: Paananen K.
46'
Sub
Kouassivi-Benissan K. In: Ogunniyi O.
Out: Kouassivi-Benissan K.
55'
Sub
Tessilimi O. In: Vaisto O.
Out: Tessilimi O.

AI Match Summary

VPS in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored VPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
SJK
15%
Draws
51%
VPS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VPS lately — more wins on the board than SJK.
  • SJK are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and VPS have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
SJK Clean Sheet 10%
VPS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SJK VPS
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.53 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs SJK
1:0
Jun 17, 2026 Veikkausliiga
SJK vs VPS
1:2
Feb 21, 2026 Liiga Cup
SJK vs VPS
0:6
Aug 10, 2025 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs SJK
1:2
May 12, 2025 Veikkausliiga
SJK vs VPS
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SJK Compare

Top Goalscorer Streng J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

VPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindholm S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smyth L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SJK 40 / 100
VPS 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SJK VPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

SJK's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: VPS conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

VPS lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SJK VS VPS
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SJK

(Home)
07 Aug
SJK
2 : 2
Gnistan
03 Aug
SJK
3 : 0
HJK
24 Jul
Jaro
2 : 1
SJK
18 Jul
SJK
0 : 2
KuPS
10 Jul
VPS
1 : 0
SJK
Page 1 of 6

VPS

(Away)
08 Aug
Jaro
1 : 3
VPS
02 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Inter Turku
25 Jul
KuPS
3 : 1
VPS
18 Jul
HJK
2 : 1
VPS
10 Jul
VPS
1 : 0
SJK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 19 11 7 1 34:17 40
2 Inter Turku 19 9 8 2 25:14 35
3 HJK 19 9 4 6 29:23 31
4 VPS 19 8 6 5 27:18 30
5 AC Oulu 19 9 3 7 22:22 30
6 Gnistan 19 8 5 6 29:24 29
7 Lahti 19 7 5 7 22:16 26
8 TPS 19 7 5 7 24:21 26
9 Ilves 19 7 4 8 31:31 25
10 SJK 19 4 6 9 24:29 18
11 Jaro 19 3 6 10 18:38 15
12 Mariehamn 19 0 5 14 9:41 5
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)