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SK Beveren vs Habay La Neuve - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Belgian Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. SK Beveren have averaged 2.21 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against Habay La Neuve's 1.11 scored and 1.43 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.44 - 1.25) back SK Beveren to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
SK Beveren
20%
Draws
46%
Habay La Neuve
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Habay La Neuve

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • SK Beveren carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives SK Beveren a 36% chance of winning this.
  • SK Beveren have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
SK Beveren Clean Sheet 19%
Habay La Neuve Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SK Beveren Habay La Neuve
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 20 9
Draws 1 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.21 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SK Beveren 36 / 100
Habay La Neuve 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SK Beveren Habay La Neuve

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SK Beveren found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Habay La Neuve has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

SK Beveren went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Habay La Neuve registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SK Beveren VS Habay La Neuve
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SK Beveren

(Home)
20 Sept
Kortrijk
1 : 0
SK Beveren
12 Sept
SK Beveren
2 : 0
St. Truiden
06 Sept
SK Beveren
3 : 0
Leuven
28 Aug
Genk
4 : 0
SK Beveren
22 Aug
Waregem
4 : 0
SK Beveren
Page 1 of 6

Habay La Neuve

(Away)
03 Oct
Tubize-Braine
1 : 0
Habay La Neuve
30 Sept
Charleroi B
0 : 0
Habay La Neuve
26 Sept
OC Charleroi
1 : 2
Habay La Neuve
20 Sept
Habay La Neuve
2 : 1
Flenu
13 Sept
Habay La Neuve
0 : 0
St. Liege U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Diksmuide Oostende 0
Lommel SK 2
Westerlo -
TBD -
SK Roeselare 1
Patro Eisden 2
Crossing Schaerbeek 3
Beerschot VA 5
TBD -
Anderlecht -
Heist 3
Kortrijk 2
TBD -
Antwerp -
Waregem -
TBD -
Knokke 2
RFC Seraing 5
Club Brugge -
TBD -
Houtvenne 0
Sporting Lokeren 5
KV Mechelen -
TBD -
Merelbeke 0
Eupen 1
Union Rochefortoise 3
Lierse SK 2
TBD -
Gent -
SK Beveren -
TBD -
OC Charleroi 1
Habay La Neuve 2
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
Nijlen 3
Boom 1
Oostkamp 0
Virton 3
TBD -
Genk -
Londerzeel 0
Renaissance Mons 4
TBD -
Charleroi -
RAAL La Louviere -
TBD -
RFC Liege 4
Wellen 1
St. Liege -
TBD -
Hoogstraten 0
Dender 6
Leuven -
TBD -
Diegem 0
Francs Borains 1
Mandel United 1
Hasselt 3
TBD -
Cercle Brugge -
1/16-finals
St. Truiden -
Lommel SK -
Westerlo -
Patro Eisden -
Beerschot VA -
Anderlecht -
Heist -
Antwerp -
Waregem -
RFC Seraing -
Club Brugge -
Sporting Lokeren -
KV Mechelen -
Eupen -
Union Rochefortoise -
Gent -
SK Beveren -
Habay La Neuve -
Royale Union SG -
Nijlen -
Virton -
Genk -
Renaissance Mons -
Charleroi -
RAAL La Louviere -
RFC Liege -
St. Liege -
Dender -
Leuven -
Francs Borains -
Hasselt -
Cercle Brugge -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -