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SK Beveren vs Lommel SK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Freethiel Stadion, Beveren
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SK Beveren host Lommel SK in the Jupiler Pro League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. SK Beveren have averaged 2.2 scored and 1.3 conceded recently, against Lommel SK's 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded. Head-to-head, SK Beveren have won 3 to Lommel SK's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.31) point toward SK Beveren. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
SK Beveren
15%
Draws
46%
Lommel SK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lommel SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Lommel SK haven't matched SK Beveren's recent run of results.
  • Model gives SK Beveren a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
SK Beveren Clean Sheet 18%
Lommel SK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SK Beveren Lommel SK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 15
Draws 1 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.2 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Challenger Pro League
SK Beveren vs Lommel SK
2:0
Nov 7, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs SK Beveren
2:2
Feb 22, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs SK Beveren
1:2
Aug 17, 2024 Challenger Pro League
SK Beveren vs Lommel SK
2:1
Apr 19, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs SK Beveren
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SK Beveren 36 / 100
Lommel SK 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SK Beveren Lommel SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SK Beveren's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Lommel SK let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: SK Beveren remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SK Beveren VS Lommel SK
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SK Beveren

(Home)
20 Sept
Kortrijk
1 : 0
SK Beveren
12 Sept
SK Beveren
2 : 0
St. Truiden
06 Sept
SK Beveren
3 : 0
Leuven
28 Aug
Genk
4 : 0
SK Beveren
22 Aug
Waregem
4 : 0
SK Beveren
Page 1 of 6

Lommel SK

(Away)
26 Sept
Diksmuide Oostende
0 : 2
Lommel SK
19 Sept
Lommel SK
0 : 0
KV Mechelen
12 Sept
Royale Union SG
5 : 0
Lommel SK
04 Sept
Lommel SK
0 : 1
Club Brugge
29 Aug
Cercle Brugge
0 : 1
Lommel SK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 7 6 1 0 21:3 19
2 Gent 7 6 1 0 13:4 19
3 Club Brugge 7 6 0 1 15:3 18
4 Charleroi 7 6 0 1 15:7 18
5 Anderlecht 7 4 1 2 7:5 13
6 Waregem 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
7 St. Liege 7 3 2 2 13:12 11
8 Westerlo 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
9 SK Beveren 7 3 0 4 7:11 9
10 Genk 7 2 3 2 13:12 9
11 St. Truiden 7 2 2 3 12:12 8
12 Lommel SK 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
13 Antwerp 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
14 RAAL La Louviere 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
15 Leuven 7 1 1 5 5:13 4
16 Kortrijk 7 1 0 6 2:15 3
17 Cercle Brugge 7 0 3 4 8:14 3
18 KV Mechelen 7 0 3 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)