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SK Beveren vs Lommel SK

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Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 Freethiel Stadion
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AI Match Summary

SK Beveren play Lommel SK in the Challenger Pro League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, SK Beveren averaged 2.53 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Lommel SK averaged 2 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, SK Beveren won 3, Lommel SK won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 8, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for SK Beveren and 1.50 for Lommel SK. This points to a SK Beveren double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
SK Beveren
18%
Draws
35%
Lommel SK
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: SK Beveren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • SK Beveren picked up more points recently compared to Lommel SK.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
SK Beveren Clean Sheet 16%
Lommel SK Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SK Beveren Lommel SK
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 24 19
Draws 4 7
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 2.53 2
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Challenger Pro League
SK Beveren vs Lommel SK
2:0
Nov 7, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs SK Beveren
2:2
Feb 22, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs SK Beveren
1:2
Aug 17, 2024 Challenger Pro League
SK Beveren vs Lommel SK
2:1
Apr 19, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs SK Beveren
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SK Beveren Compare

Top Goalscorer Abrahams K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Lommel SK Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SK Beveren 46 / 100
Lommel SK 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SK Beveren Lommel SK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: SK Beveren or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SK Beveren attacking → ← attacking Lommel SK

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SK Beveren scored in 100% of their last 30 games.

Lommel SK let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

SK Beveren went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lommel SK lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

76 Points in last 5 64
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SK Beveren32284074:2388
2Kortrijk32214759:3367
3Beerschot VA32197652:3164
4RFC Liege321651144:3953
5Lommel SK32158959:4653
6Patro Eisden32149944:4051
7Eupen321211944:3647
8Sporting Lokeren3210121048:4542
9Gent U23321251542:5141
10Lierse SK321081435:4238
11RFC Seraing328111337:4435
12Francs Borains32981533:4734
13RWDM Brussels32991450:5433
14Anderlecht U23327101546:5531
15Genk U23327101542:5931
16Club Brugge U2332562133:5521
17OC Charleroi32372226:6816