Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SK Beveren vs St. Liege

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup 2025/2026 Freethiel Stadion, Beveren
SK Beveren Logo

SK Beveren

1 - 2
FT
St. Liege Logo

St. Liege

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Rigo D.
28'
Sub
Mehssatou Sepulveda N. In: Sahabo H.
Out: Mehssatou Sepulveda N.
34' Event
Henry T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

St. Liege in this Belgian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
SK Beveren
15%
Draws
51%
St. Liege
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Liege

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • SK Beveren have won more games recently than St. Liege.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • SK Beveren have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor St. Liege, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and St. Liege have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
SK Beveren Clean Sheet 16%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SK Beveren St. Liege
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 14
Draws 1 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.2 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 Belgian Cup
SK Beveren vs St. Liege
1:2
Jan 11, 2021 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs SK Beveren
3:1
Aug 17, 2020 Jupiler Pro League
SK Beveren vs St. Liege
1:2
Dec 21, 2019 Jupiler Pro League
SK Beveren vs St. Liege
2:1
Oct 30, 2019 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs SK Beveren
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SK Beveren Compare

Top Goalscorer Rigo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

St. Liege Compare

Top Goalscorer Henry T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SK Beveren 31 / 100
St. Liege 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SK Beveren St. Liege

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Liege Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SK Beveren's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

St. Liege's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

SK Beveren went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SK Beveren VS St. Liege
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SK Beveren

(Home)
20 Sept
Kortrijk
1 : 0
SK Beveren
12 Sept
SK Beveren
2 : 0
St. Truiden
06 Sept
SK Beveren
3 : 0
Leuven
28 Aug
Genk
4 : 0
SK Beveren
22 Aug
Waregem
4 : 0
SK Beveren
Page 1 of 6

St. Liege

(Away)
18 Sept
Gent
2 : 1
St. Liege
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2
St. Liege
05 Sept
St. Liege
1 : 0
Antwerp
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2
St. Liege
21 Aug
St. Liege
2 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
RFC Liege 0
Charleroi 1
KV Mechelen 2
Lierse SK 1
RFC Seraing 1
Leuven 3
Club Brugge 6
Eendracht Aalst 1
Dender 4
OC Charleroi 2
SK Beveren 1
St. Liege 2
Tubize-Braine 0
Royale Union SG 3
Belisia Bilzen 1
Waregem 4
Genk 3
RWDM Brussels 0
Ninove 0
Anderlecht 2
Cercle Brugge 1
Kortrijk 0
Gent 5
Patro Eisden 0
Antwerp 3
Eupen 1
Knokke 0
St. Truiden 1
Beerschot VA 3
Westerlo 2
Heist 1
RAAL La Louviere 2
1/8-finals
Charleroi 2
KV Mechelen 0
Leuven 1
Club Brugge 2
Dender 3
St. Liege 2
Royale Union SG 2
Waregem 1
Genk 1
Anderlecht 3
Cercle Brugge 1
Gent 3
Antwerp 4
St. Truiden 3
Beerschot VA 1
RAAL La Louviere 2
Quarter-finals
Charleroi 2
Club Brugge 0
Dender 0
Royale Union SG 2
Anderlecht 1
Gent 0
Antwerp 2
RAAL La Louviere 1
Semi-finals
Charleroi 1
Royale Union SG 4
Anderlecht 4
Antwerp 1
Final
Royale Union SG 3
Anderlecht 1