Sport Picks

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SK Beveren vs St. Truiden

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Freethiel Stadion, Beveren
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Lokesa C.
(Penalty)
55' Event
Margaritha J.
Assist: Bruls C.
57'
Sub
Araki R. In: Mbuku N.
Out: Araki R.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League game between SK Beveren and St. Truiden finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SK Beveren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
SK Beveren
15%
Draws
34%
St. Truiden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SK Beveren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • St. Truiden haven't matched SK Beveren's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
SK Beveren Clean Sheet 16%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SK Beveren St. Truiden
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 22 16
Draws 1 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.28 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
SK Beveren vs St. Truiden
2:0
Apr 6, 2021 Jupiler Pro League
SK Beveren vs St. Truiden
2:4
Nov 28, 2020 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs SK Beveren
1:1
Jul 30, 2020 Club Friendly
St. Truiden vs SK Beveren
4:1
Dec 26, 2019 Jupiler Pro League
SK Beveren vs St. Truiden
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SK Beveren Compare

Top Goalscorer Margaritha J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

St. Truiden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SK Beveren 31 / 100
St. Truiden 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SK Beveren St. Truiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SK Beveren scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

St. Truiden let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Solid form: SK Beveren remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SK Beveren VS St. Truiden
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SK Beveren

(Home)
12 Sept
SK Beveren
2 : 0
St. Truiden
06 Sept
SK Beveren
3 : 0
Leuven
28 Aug
Genk
4 : 0
SK Beveren
22 Aug
Waregem
4 : 0
SK Beveren
16 Aug
SK Beveren
1 : 0
Anderlecht
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St. Truiden

(Away)
12 Sept
SK Beveren
2 : 0
St. Truiden
05 Sept
St. Truiden
4 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
02 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
30 Aug
Antwerp
1 : 4
St. Truiden
27 Aug
Omonia
4 : 2
St. Truiden
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 7 6 1 0 21:3 19
2 Gent 7 6 1 0 13:4 19
3 Club Brugge 7 6 0 1 15:3 18
4 Charleroi 7 6 0 1 15:7 18
5 Anderlecht 7 4 1 2 7:5 13
6 Waregem 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
7 St. Liege 7 3 2 2 13:12 11
8 Westerlo 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
9 SK Beveren 7 3 0 4 7:11 9
10 Genk 7 2 3 2 13:12 9
11 St. Truiden 7 2 2 3 12:12 8
12 Lommel SK 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
13 Antwerp 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
14 RAAL La Louviere 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
15 Leuven 7 1 1 5 5:13 4
16 Kortrijk 7 1 0 6 2:15 3
17 Cercle Brugge 7 0 3 4 8:14 3
18 KV Mechelen 7 0 3 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)