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SK St. Johann vs Kematen Prediction & H2H Stats

Austria Austria

Tirol 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SK St. Johann in this Tirol 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SK St. Johann.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
SK St. Johann
20%
Draws
42%
Kematen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kematen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • SK St. Johann have won more games recently than Kematen.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
SK St. Johann Clean Sheet 13%
Kematen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SK St. Johann Kematen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.4 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Tirol
SK St. Johann vs Kematen
4:1
Aug 29, 2025 Tirol
Kematen vs SK St. Johann
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Tirol
SK St. Johann vs Kematen
3:4
Aug 30, 2024 Tirol
Kematen vs SK St. Johann
2:0
Oct 28, 2023 Tirol
Kematen vs SK St. Johann
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SK St. Johann 31 / 100
Kematen 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SK St. Johann Kematen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SK St. Johann scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: SK St. Johann remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Kematen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

SK St. Johann VS Kematen
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SK St. Johann

(Home)
03 Oct
SK St. Johann
5 : 1
Fugen
26 Sept
FC Lustenau
1 : 1
SK St. Johann
19 Sept
SK St. Johann
3 : 1
Lochau
12 Sept
SC Imst
0 : 0
SK St. Johann
06 Sept
FC Wolfurt
0 : 1
SK St. Johann
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Kematen

(Away)
03 Oct
Kematen
5 : 0
SC Mils 05
26 Sept
Kolsass Weer
1 : 3
Kematen
19 Sept
Kematen
3 : 0
SV Oberperfuss
12 Sept
FC Volders
1 : 0
Kematen
04 Sept
Kematen
1 : 0
Vols
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