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SKA-1938 Minsk vs BumProm Gomel Prediction & H2H Stats

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga RCOP-BGU Stadium, Minsk
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Lisovskiy V.
12'
Konyakhin A.
36' Event
Potorocha V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga game between SKA-1938 Minsk and BumProm Gomel finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BumProm Gomel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
SKA-1938 Minsk
15%
Draws
21%
BumProm Gomel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SKA-1938 Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • BumProm Gomel haven't matched SKA-1938 Minsk's recent run of results.
  • SKA-1938 Minsk are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and BumProm Gomel have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
SKA-1938 Minsk Clean Sheet 20%
BumProm Gomel Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SKA-1938 Minsk BumProm Gomel
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.14 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs SKA-1938 Minsk
1:2
May 10, 2026 Pershaya Liga
SKA-1938 Minsk vs BumProm Gomel
0:2
Aug 10, 2024 Pershaya Liga
BumProm Gomel vs SKA-1938 Minsk
4:1
Apr 13, 2024 Pershaya Liga
SKA-1938 Minsk vs BumProm Gomel
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SKA-1938 Minsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

BumProm Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidorenko K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SKA-1938 Minsk 76 / 100
BumProm Gomel 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SKA-1938 Minsk BumProm Gomel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKA-1938 Minsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SKA-1938 Minsk found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

BumProm Gomel let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: SKA-1938 Minsk stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SKA-1938 Minsk VS BumProm Gomel
2 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SKA-1938 Minsk

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Gomel 2
0 : 3
SKA-1938 Minsk
26 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1
Orsha
19 Sept
Volna Pinsk
1 : 3
SKA-1938 Minsk
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2
Smorgon
05 Sept
BumProm Gomel
1 : 2
SKA-1938 Minsk
Page 1 of 6

BumProm Gomel

(Away)
27 Sept
Osipovichi
3 : 3
BumProm Gomel
19 Sept
BumProm Gomel
4 : 0
FK Lida
13 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
2 : 1
BumProm Gomel
05 Sept
BumProm Gomel
1 : 2
SKA-1938 Minsk
29 Aug
Slutsk
4 : 1
BumProm Gomel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niva Dolbizno 27 17 4 6 67:31 55
2 Slutsk 26 16 6 4 52:27 54
3 FK Lida 27 17 3 7 51:43 54
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 26 15 5 6 53:31 50
5 FC Slonim 26 14 4 8 48:31 46
6 Molodechno 25 14 3 8 44:36 45
7 Soligorsk 26 11 6 9 51:43 39
8 BumProm Gomel 26 11 5 10 50:40 38
9 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
10 Ostrovets 27 8 11 8 37:39 35
11 Volna Pinsk 27 10 4 13 40:50 34
12 Smorgon 26 8 6 12 31:36 30
13 FC Minsk 2 26 9 3 14 36:48 30
14 Orsha 27 7 6 14 28:51 27
15 Uni X Labs 26 6 8 12 25:35 26
16 BATE 2 27 5 7 15 36:61 22
17 FC Gomel 2 26 5 6 15 36:52 21
18 Osipovichi 26 5 4 17 29:65 19
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)