Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SKA-1938 Minsk vs Niva Dolbizno

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga RCOP-BGU Stadium, Minsk
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Fedortsov D.
Penalty Missed
8' Event
Chul D.
Assist: Prigodich V.
28' Event
Korytko M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga game between SKA-1938 Minsk and Niva Dolbizno finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SKA-1938 Minsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
SKA-1938 Minsk
40%
Draws
29%
Niva Dolbizno
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • SKA-1938 Minsk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Niva Dolbizno have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
SKA-1938 Minsk Clean Sheet 20%
Niva Dolbizno Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SKA-1938 Minsk Niva Dolbizno
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.88 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Pershaya Liga
SKA-1938 Minsk vs Niva Dolbizno
3:1
Oct 6, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Niva Dolbizno vs SKA-1938 Minsk
2:1
Jun 9, 2024 Pershaya Liga
SKA-1938 Minsk vs Niva Dolbizno
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SKA-1938 Minsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Chul D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kartoev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Niva Dolbizno Compare

Top Goalscorer Leshkevich N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SKA-1938 Minsk 32 / 100
Niva Dolbizno 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SKA-1938 Minsk Niva Dolbizno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Niva Dolbizno conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

SKA-1938 Minsk went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: SKA-1938 Minsk scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

SKA-1938 Minsk VS Niva Dolbizno
2.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

SKA-1938 Minsk

(Home)
24 Jul
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 0
Din. Minsk 2
10 Jul
Ostrovets
1 : 1
SKA-1938 Minsk
04 Jul
SKA-1938 Minsk
4 : 3
FC Slonim
28 Jun
BATE 2
3 : 4
SKA-1938 Minsk
21 Jun
SKA-1938 Minsk
4 : 0
Uni X Labs
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Niva Dolbizno

(Away)
25 Jul
Niva Dolbizno
2 : 0
Ostrovets
18 Jul
Niva Dolbizno
2 : 3
FC Gomel
10 Jul
FC Slonim
2 : 2
Niva Dolbizno
04 Jul
Niva Dolbizno
5 : 0
BATE 2
27 Jun
Uni X Labs
1 : 3
Niva Dolbizno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Slutsk16113234:1836
2SKA-1938 Minsk16105137:1635
3Niva Dolbizno1693437:1830
4FC Slonim1583428:1727
5FK Lida1583427:2327
6Soligorsk1675435:2226
7Volna Pinsk1682628:2626
8Din. Minsk 21574429:2025
9BumProm Gomel1573530:2124
10Molodechno1561821:3119
11Smorgon1645720:2417
12FC Gomel 21645723:2317
13FC Minsk 21551918:3116
14Orsha1543816:2815
15Ostrovets1629518:2315
16Uni X Labs1543813:2415
17BATE 21625921:4011
18Osipovichi16211318:487
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