Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2022

Colorado Caieiras

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SKA Brasil play Colorado Caieiras in the Paulista A4 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, SKA Brasil averaged 1.59 goals scored and 0.66 conceded. Colorado Caieiras averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, SKA Brasil won 2, Colorado Caieiras won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 24, 2023 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for SKA Brasil and 0.86 for Colorado Caieiras. This points to a SKA Brasil double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

SKA Brasil

30%

Draws

24%

Colorado Caieiras

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SKA Brasil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

SKA Brasil picked up more points recently compared to Colorado Caieiras.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.86 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

SKA Brasil Clean Sheet 25%

Colorado Caieiras Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SKA Brasil	Colorado Caieiras
Matches Played	32	32
Wins	16	7
Draws	8	14
Losses	8	11
Goals Scored	1.59	1.16
Goals Conceded	0.66	1.31

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2023 Paulista A4

SKA Brasil vs Colorado Caieiras

Possession: 58% - 45% Cards: 0 - 3

3:0

May 21, 2023 Paulista A4

Colorado Caieiras vs SKA Brasil

Possession: 48% - 40% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

Jun 5, 2022 Paulista A4

Colorado Caieiras vs SKA Brasil

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Apr 30, 2022 Paulista A4

SKA Brasil vs Colorado Caieiras

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SKA Brasil 46 / 100

Colorado Caieiras 24 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SKA Brasil Colorado Caieiras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: SKA Brasil or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.9%

3.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SKA Brasil attacking → ← attacking Colorado Caieiras

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SKA Brasil scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Colorado Caieiras let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

SKA Brasil went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Colorado Caieiras lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 35

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Penapolense	10	6	3	1	23:6	21
2	Inter de Bebedouro	10	6	3	1	18:6	21
3	Catanduva FC	10	6	2	2	25:11	20
4	Fernandopolis	10	2	2	6	11:22	8
5	America SP	10	2	2	6	14:24	8
6	Andradina Esporte Clube	10	2	0	8	12:34	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gremio Prudente	10	7	3	0	17:4	24
2	AA Itarare	10	3	6	1	13:8	15
3	Osvaldo Cruz	10	3	5	2	12:10	14
4	Vocem	10	3	4	3	8:12	13
5	Assisense	10	2	5	3	9:10	11
6	Santacruzense	10	0	1	9	4:19	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Taquaritinga	10	7	0	3	17:8	21
2	Sao-Carlense	10	6	2	2	17:5	20
3	XV de Jau	10	5	3	2	16:7	18
4	Francana	10	3	4	3	8:8	13
5	Sao Carlos	10	2	4	4	6:14	10
6	Batatais	10	0	1	9	7:29	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Itapirense	10	7	2	1	20:10	23
2	Rio Branco SP	10	6	1	3	15:10	19
3	Paulista	10	5	3	2	15:8	18
4	Amparo SP	10	3	3	4	15:12	12
5	Independente SP	10	3	2	5	8:9	11
6	Uniao Sao Joao	10	0	1	9	3:27	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Manthiqueira	10	6	2	2	26:12	20
2	Jacarei FC	10	6	1	3	25:6	19
3	Flamengo SP	10	5	4	1	18:11	19
4	Uniao Mogi	10	4	2	4	25:12	14
5	Guarulhos	10	2	4	4	11:18	10
6	Atletico Mogi	10	0	1	9	5:51	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maua FC	10	5	3	2	12:9	18
2	SKA Brasil	10	5	2	3	19:8	17
3	Colorado Caieiras	10	4	5	1	16:10	17
4	Jabaquara	10	4	3	3	10:10	15
5	Mauaense	10	2	4	4	11:16	10
6	ECUS SP	10	1	1	8	12:27	4