Sport Picks
SKA Khabarovsk vs Arsenal Tula
Russia
FNL 2025/2026 Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The FNL 2025/2026 game between SKA Khabarovsk and Arsenal Tula finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arsenal Tula.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and SKA Khabarovsk come out ahead of Arsenal Tula on wins alone.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Arsenal Tula have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SKA Khabarovsk | Arsenal Tula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 25 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SKA Khabarovsk Compare
Arsenal Tula Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: SKA Khabarovsk scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.
Arsenal Tula's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 25 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: SKA Khabarovsk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:28 | 68 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 44:22 | 68 |
| 3 | Ural | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 51:31 | 61 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 47:26 | 56 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Yenisey | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | 49 |
| 7 | S. Kostroma | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:41 | 49 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 34:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Torpedo Moscow | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Chelyabinsk | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:41 | 43 |
| 12 | SKA Khabarovsk | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37:45 | 42 |
| 13 | Arsenal Tula | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42:44 | 39 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:48 | 37 |
| 15 | Ufa | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:49 | 35 |
| 17 | Saratov | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 16:44 | 26 |
| 18 | FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:76 | 22 |