Sport Picks
SKA Khabarovsk vs S. Kostroma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
FNL Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina, Khabarovsk 
Match Events
41'
41'
Noskov E.
46'
46'
Sub
Kirakosyan D. In: Bugriev S.
Out: Kirakosyan D.
46'
46'
Sub
Nikiforenko O. In: Rubtsov I.
Out: Nikiforenko O.
AI Match Summary
The FNL game between SKA Khabarovsk and S. Kostroma finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward S. Kostroma.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: S. Kostroma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- S. Kostroma carry the better recent record into this one.
- 28% — that's where the model lands on SKA Khabarovsk taking it.
- Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and S. Kostroma have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
SKA Khabarovsk Clean Sheet 68%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SKA Khabarovsk | S. Kostroma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs S. Kostroma
1:3
Apr 22, 2026 FNL
S. Kostroma vs SKA Khabarovsk
3:0
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
SKA Khabarovsk vs S. Kostroma
3:1
Aug 24, 2025 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs S. Kostroma
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SKA Khabarovsk Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
S. Kostroma Compare
Top Goalscorer Bugriev S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kalmykov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SKA Khabarovsk 68 / 100
S. Kostroma 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SKA Khabarovsk S. Kostroma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SKA Khabarovsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Recent resilience: SKA Khabarovsk stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: SKA Khabarovsk scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: S. Kostroma conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
SKA Khabarovsk VS S. Kostroma
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
SKA Khabarovsk
(Home) 10 Oct
SKA Khabarovsk
3 : 3 Kamaz
27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
PFC Sochi
1 : 1 SKA Khabarovsk
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2 SKA Khabarovsk
09 Sept
Krasnoye Znamya
0 : 4 SKA Khabarovsk
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
SKA Khabarovsk
3 : 3 Kamaz
30 Aug
SKA Khabarovsk
0 : 2 Torpedo Moscow
15 Aug
SKA Khabarovsk
2 : 0 Veles Moscow
09 Aug
SKA Khabarovsk
1 : 3 S. Kostroma
02 Aug
SKA Khabarovsk
0 : 3 Ural
Page 1 of 3
S. Kostroma
(Away) 09 Oct
Arsenal Tula
3 : 2 S. Kostroma
26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2 Ural
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0 Neftekhimik
08 Sept
Ryazan
0 : 2 S. Kostroma
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Arsenal Tula
3 : 2 S. Kostroma
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
08 Sept
Ryazan
0 : 2 S. Kostroma
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
21 Aug
Torpedo Moscow
3 : 0 S. Kostroma
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 41:14 | 34 |
| 2 | Veles Moscow | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:17 | 26 |
| 3 | Ural | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21:8 | 25 |
| 4 | Torpedo Moscow | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24:10 | 24 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 6 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17:13 | 19 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 9 | Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:24 | 16 |
| 11 | Chelyabinsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:21 | 15 |
| 12 | Ulyanovsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18:21 | 15 |
| 13 | Yenisey | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Leningradets | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 9:19 | 12 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 10 |
| 17 | SKA Khabarovsk | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14:26 | 7 |
| 18 | Tekstilshtik | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
