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Stadium Background

SKA Khabarovsk vs Ulyanovsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina, Khabarovsk
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SKA Khabarovsk host Ulyanovsk in the FNL. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. SKA Khabarovsk have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.96 conceded recently, against Ulyanovsk's 1.03 scored and 1.27 conceded. Past meetings favor SKA Khabarovsk slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.63) point toward Ulyanovsk. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
SKA Khabarovsk
35%
Draws
27%
Ulyanovsk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SKA Khabarovsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Ulyanovsk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
SKA Khabarovsk Clean Sheet 14%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SKA Khabarovsk Ulyanovsk
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Ulyanovsk
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs SKA Khabarovsk
1:0
Apr 22, 2023 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Ulyanovsk
1:1
Oct 1, 2022 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs SKA Khabarovsk
0:0
Oct 17, 2008 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs Ulyanovsk
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SKA Khabarovsk 30 / 100
Ulyanovsk 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SKA Khabarovsk Ulyanovsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKA Khabarovsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SKA Khabarovsk has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

SKA Khabarovsk scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Ulyanovsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

SKA Khabarovsk VS Ulyanovsk
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SKA Khabarovsk

(Home)
10 Oct
SKA Khabarovsk
3 : 3
Kamaz
27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0
SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
PFC Sochi
1 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
09 Sept
Krasnoye Znamya
0 : 4
SKA Khabarovsk
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Ulyanovsk

(Away)
10 Oct
R. Volgograd
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
Ulyanovsk
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
Leningradets
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 Veles Moscow 14 8 2 4 19:17 26
3 Ural 13 7 4 2 21:8 25
4 S. Kostroma 13 7 3 3 18:13 24
5 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
6 Torpedo Moscow 12 6 3 3 21:9 21
7 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
8 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
9 Arsenal Tula 13 4 4 5 15:24 16
10 Shinnik Yaroslavl 12 3 7 2 15:13 16
11 Chelyabinsk 13 4 3 6 17:21 15
12 Yenisey 12 3 5 4 15:20 14
13 Ulyanovsk 13 4 2 7 16:19 14
14 Leningradets 12 3 4 5 10:20 13
15 Neftekhimik 13 4 0 9 9:19 12
16 Kamaz 13 2 4 7 14:22 10
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 13 1 4 8 14:26 7
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