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SKA Rostov-on-Don vs FC Sevastopol

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Smirnov A.

AI Match Summary

FC Sevastopol in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Sevastopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
SKA Rostov-on-Don
6%
Draws
90%
FC Sevastopol
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Sevastopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Sevastopol lately — more wins on the board than SKA Rostov-on-Don.
  • FC Sevastopol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
SKA Rostov-on-Don Clean Sheet 20%
FC Sevastopol Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SKA Rostov-on-Don FC Sevastopol
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 22
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 0 2.63
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
SKA Rostov-on-Don vs FC Sevastopol
0:1
Jul 16, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs SKA Rostov-on-Don
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SKA Rostov-on-Don Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

FC Sevastopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Smirnov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SKA Rostov-on-Don 10 / 100
FC Sevastopol 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SKA Rostov-on-Don FC Sevastopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SKA Rostov-on-Don scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: FC Sevastopol conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: SKA Rostov-on-Don remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SKA Rostov-on-Don VS FC Sevastopol
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SKA Rostov-on-Don

(Home)
10 Sept
SKA Rostov-on-Don
1 : 2
Broke Boys
07 Jun
Broke Boys
1 : 1
SKA Rostov-on-Don
27 Apr
SKA Rostov-on-Don
0 : 1
Rodina Media
25 Nov
SKA Rostov-on-Don
2 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
19 Nov
Spartak Nalchik
5 : 1
SKA Rostov-on-Don
Page 1 of 6

FC Sevastopol

(Away)
25 Jul
Maykop
1 : 3
FC Sevastopol
04 Jul
Spartak Nalchik
3 : 2
FC Sevastopol
27 Jun
FC Sevastopol
1 : 0
Angust Nazran
20 Jun
Astrakhan
1 : 2
FC Sevastopol
13 Jun
FC Sevastopol
2 : 1
FK Pobeda
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kuban Kholding1280420:824
2Maykop127238:923
3Rubin Yalta1263319:1221
4FC Sevastopol1262411:1320
5Biolog1243514:1215
6SKA Rostov-on-Don1241710:1413
7Dynamo Stavropol1211103:174
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2023 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mashuk1291221:928
2Legion Makhachkala1265120:1123
3Astrakhan1253421:1518
4Spartak Nalchik1252516:1617
5Dynamo Makhachkala 21225510:1311
6Alania 21232717:3111
7FK Pobeda1222813:238
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2023 (Relegation Group)