Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skallagrimur vs KFR

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Sigurdsson H.
38' Event
Smarason H.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Gunnarsson S.

AI Match Summary

KFR in this Icelandic Cup 2023 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Skallagrimur
15%
Draws
57%
KFR
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to KFR lately — more wins on the board than Skallagrimur.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • KFR arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor KFR, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Skallagrimur Clean Sheet 10%
KFR Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skallagrimur KFR
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 0 1
Losses 23 20
Goals Scored 1.77 1.13
Goals Conceded 3.37 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Icelandic Cup
Skallagrimur vs KFR
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skallagrimur Compare

Top Goalscorer Gunnarsson S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

KFR Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigurdsson H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smarason H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skallagrimur 29 / 100
KFR 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skallagrimur KFR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skallagrimur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KFR has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Skallagrimur scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: KFR registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skallagrimur VS KFR
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Skallagrimur

(Home)
21 Mar
Smari
3 : 2
Skallagrimur
05 Apr
Skallagrimur
1 : 2
Ulfarnir
30 Mar
Hamar
1 : 3
Skallagrimur
06 Apr
Skallagrimur
1 : 3
Aegir
02 Apr
Skallagrimur
2 : 3
KFR
Page 1 of 6

KFR

(Away)
30 Mar
Haukar
3 : 0
KFR
21 Mar
KFR
:
IH Hafnarfjordur
05 Apr
KA Asvellir
3 : 2
KFR
28 Mar
SR Reykjavik
2 : 3
KFR
06 Apr
KFR
4 : 8
KFK Kopavogur
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kopavogur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 7
Hafnir 0
IR Reykjavik 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBU 7
Hamar 0
KA Asvellir 5
Kormakur/Hvot 4
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 5
Alafoss 3
Hviti 3
GG Grindavik 2
Afturelding -
TBD -
TBD -
Grindavik -
Dalvik/Reynir -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 2
Tindastoll 7
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ymir 1
KFS 2
Throttur 18
Stokkseyri 0
KB Breidholt 2
Kria 4
TBD -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Berserkir / Midas 1
Smari 2
Reynir 1
Aegir 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
SR Reykjavik 1
Augnablik 5
Njardvik 4
Hordur Isafjordur 0
KFA -
TBD -
TBD -
Spyrnir -
Ellidi 0
Arborg 1
Kari 5
Lettir 0
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Arbaer 2
Olafsvik 1
Reynir Hellissandur 1
KFK Kopavogur 7
Selfoss 7
Alftanes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
Magni 4
Samherjar 0
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
Vestri -
Skallagrimur 2
KFR 3
Vaengirs 4
KH Hlidarendi 5
Sindri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulfarnir 1
Throttur Vogar 3
KV Reykjavik 17
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 2
Vidir 3
1/32-finals
Kopavogur -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 2
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
IBU 4
KA Asvellir 3
Valur -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 3
Hviti 2
Afturelding 0
Grindavik 1
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Tindastoll 1
Fram -
TBD -
KFS 0
Throttur 5
Kria 0
Fjolnir 10
TBD -
Breidablik -
Smari 1
Aegir 6
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Augnablik 2
Njardvik 3
KFA 7
Spyrnir 1
Arborg 1
Kari 3
Thor Akureyri 6
Fjallabyggd 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Arbaer 0
KFK Kopavogur 0
Selfoss 8
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Volsungur 0
Magni 1
Grotta 1
Vestri 0
KFR 0
KH Hlidarendi 1
Sindri 4
Hottur / Huginn 3
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar 2
KV Reykjavik 0
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Akranes 3
Vidir 0
1/16-finals
Kopavogur 5
KFG Gardabaer 0
KA Akureyri 5
IBU 0
Valur 4
RB Keflavik 1
Grindavik 2
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Fram 2
Throttur 3
Fjolnir 0
Breidablik 2
Aegir 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Njardvik 4
KFA 1
Kari 1
Thor Akureyri 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Selfoss 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 6
Magni 2
Grotta 4
KH Hlidarendi 3
Sindri 2
Fylkir 4
KR Reykjavik 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Stjarnan 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Keflavik 1
Akranes 0
1/8-finals
Kopavogur 1
KA Akureyri 3
Valur 1
Grindavik 3
Throttur 0
Breidablik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2
Njardvik 1
Thor Akureyri 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grotta 1
Fylkir 3
KR Reykjavik 4
Stjarnan 4
Keflavik 0
Quarter-finals
KA Akureyri 2
Grindavik 1
Breidablik 3
Hafnarfjordur 1
Thor Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
KR Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
KA Akureyri 4
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
KR Reykjavik 1
Final
KA Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 3