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Skanland vs Melbo

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Jensen R.
66'
Htoo S. D.

AI Match Summary

Melbo in this Division 3 - Group 6 2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Melbo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Skanland
15%
Draws
21%
Melbo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Skanland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Skanland have won more games recently than Melbo.
  • Model gives Skanland a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 6 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Skanland Clean Sheet 13%
Melbo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skanland Melbo
Matches Played 31 15
Wins 9 4
Draws 1 2
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 1.55 1
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2021 Division 3 - Group 6
Skanland vs Melbo
0:1
Sep 19, 2020 Division 3 - Group 6
Skanland vs Melbo
0:0
Aug 15, 2020 Division 3 - Group 6
Skanland vs Melbo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skanland Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Melbo Compare

Top Goalscorer Jensen R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skanland 57 / 100
Melbo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skanland Melbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skanland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Melbo conceded in 87% of 15 recent games.

Skanland scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Melbo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Skanland VS Melbo
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Skanland

(Home)
28 Oct
Floya
4 : 2
Skanland
22 Oct
Skanland
6 : 0
Tromso 2
15 Oct
KFUM Oslo 2
5 : 2
Skanland
08 Oct
Skanland
1 : 3
Lorenskog
30 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 0
Skanland
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Melbo

(Away)
13 Apr
Melbo
0 : 1
Sortland
30 Oct
Melbo
1 : 3
Bodo/Glimt 2
23 Oct
Ullern
4 : 0
Melbo
17 Oct
Melbo
1 : 1
Skeid 2
10 Oct
Nordstrand
3 : 1
Melbo
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