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Skanste vs FK Smiltene - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Skanste host FK Smiltene in the 1. Liga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Skanste at 1.9 goals for, 2.03 against; FK Smiltene at 1.5 for, 2.57 against. Head-to-head, Skanste have won 3 to FK Smiltene's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 2:4. The numbers (2.75 xG vs 1.94) point toward Skanste. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Skanste
15%
Draws
65%
FK Smiltene
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Smiltene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Skanste lately — more wins on the board than FK Smiltene.
  • FK Smiltene are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Skanste Clean Sheet 10%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skanste FK Smiltene
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 3 7
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.9 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs Skanste
2:4
Aug 9, 2025 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs Skanste
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 1. Liga
Skanste vs FK Smiltene
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 1. Liga
Skanste vs FK Smiltene
0:3
Jul 28, 2024 1. Liga
FK Smiltene vs Skanste
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skanste 10 / 100
FK Smiltene 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skanste FK Smiltene

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Smiltene Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Smiltene's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Skanste found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Skanste remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Skanste VS FK Smiltene
2.88 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Skanste

(Home)
17 Oct
Riga Mariners
4 : 3
Skanste
10 Oct
Skanste
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
20 Sept
JFK Ventspils
1 : 0
Skanste
14 Sept
RFS 2
3 : 4
Skanste
07 Sept
Riga FC 2
3 : 2
Skanste
Page 1 of 6

FK Smiltene

(Away)
17 Oct
FK Smiltene
2 : 2
Riga FC 2
11 Oct
FK Smiltene
3 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
19 Sept
Super Nova 2
0 : 2
FK Smiltene
12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1
Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 23 19 3 1 96:18 60
2 Valmiera 23 16 5 2 63:26 53
3 Leevon PPK 23 16 5 2 49:27 53
4 Riga Mariners 23 15 5 3 54:30 50
5 Alberts JDFS 23 12 5 6 46:33 41
6 Marupe 23 10 3 10 37:34 33
7 Riga FC 2 23 8 6 9 36:39 30
8 Skanste 23 8 2 13 46:48 26
9 Super Nova 2 23 6 8 9 30:36 26
10 FK Smiltene 23 5 5 13 34:61 20
11 Tukums 2000 2 23 5 4 14 31:65 19
12 RFS 2 23 5 3 15 37:65 18
13 JFK Ventspils 23 3 7 13 21:45 16
14 Rezekne 23 1 3 19 17:70 6
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