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Skanste vs JFK Ventspils

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
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Match Events

No Data

No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Skanste host JFK Ventspils in the Nakotnes liga. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Skanste at 1.75 goals for, 1.5 against; JFK Ventspils at 1.13 for, 1.63 against. Past meetings favor Skanste slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 25, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.69 - 1.31) back Skanste to edge this. Skanste in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Skanste
22%
Draws
60%
JFK Ventspils
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: JFK Ventspils

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Skanste has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to JFK Ventspils.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for JFK Ventspils.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Nakotnes liga provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Skanste Clean Sheet 18%
JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skanste JFK Ventspils
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Skanste vs JFK Ventspils
0:0
Jun 28, 2025 Nakotnes liga
JFK Ventspils vs Skanste
2:2
Oct 19, 2024 Nakotnes liga
JFK Ventspils vs Skanste
1:2
Jun 29, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Skanste vs JFK Ventspils
3:0
Nov 12, 2023 Nakotnes liga
JFK Ventspils vs Skanste
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skanste 20 / 100
JFK Ventspils 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skanste JFK Ventspils

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JFK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skanste scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

JFK Ventspils let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Skanste went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

JFK Ventspils lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skanste VS JFK Ventspils
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Metta12101142:1131
2Valmiera1292132:1229
3Riga Mariners1284025:1028
4Leevon PPK1273220:1524
5Alberts JDFS1262425:2020
6Marupe1261522:1519
7Super Nova 21254319:1719
8Riga FC 21251619:2216
9Skanste1141620:2113
10RFS 21223715:269
11Tukums 2000 21222816:318
12JFK Ventspils1114612:207
13Rezekne1212910:365
14FK Smiltene1204812:334