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Skanste vs JFK Ventspils

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Nakotnes liga 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Skanste play JFK Ventspils in the Nakotnes liga 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Skanste averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. JFK Ventspils averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Skanste won 3, JFK Ventspils won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 25, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Skanste and 1.31 for JFK Ventspils. This points to a Skanste double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Skanste
30%
Draws
25%
JFK Ventspils
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Skanste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Skanste picked up more points recently compared to JFK Ventspils.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Skanste Clean Sheet 18%
JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skanste JFK Ventspils
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.66 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Skanste vs JFK Ventspils
0:0
Jun 28, 2025 Nakotnes liga
JFK Ventspils vs Skanste
2:2
Oct 19, 2024 Nakotnes liga
JFK Ventspils vs Skanste
1:2
Jun 29, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Skanste vs JFK Ventspils
3:0
Nov 12, 2023 Nakotnes liga
JFK Ventspils vs Skanste
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skanste 44 / 100
JFK Ventspils 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skanste JFK Ventspils

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Skanste or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Skanste attacking → ← attacking JFK Ventspils

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skanste scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

JFK Ventspils let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Skanste went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

JFK Ventspils lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 31
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ogre United26184466:2058
2Alberts JDFS26177260:2458
3Riga Mariners26184474:3458
4JFK Ventspils261110540:2943
5RFS 226118746:3141
6Skanste26117836:3940
7Leevon PPK261061040:4036
8Marupe261021430:3332
9Rezekne26871136:5731
10FK Smiltene26841446:4828
11Riga FC 226661435:4324
12Tukums 2000 226721737:6023
13AFA Olaine26641639:8822
14Augsdaugavas26351819:5814