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Skanste vs Marupe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Baltrusaitis D.
Assist: Scerbinskis A.
29' Event
Penka R.
Assist: Korsaks K.
35' Event
Scerbinskis A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between Skanste and Marupe finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skanste.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Skanste
20%
Draws
58%
Marupe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Marupe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Marupe a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Skanste Clean Sheet 12%
Marupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skanste Marupe
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 3 3
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.9 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 1. Liga
Skanste vs Marupe
4:2
Apr 4, 2026 1. Liga
Marupe vs Skanste
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 1. Liga
Marupe vs Skanste
0:1
May 17, 2025 1. Liga
Skanste vs Marupe
1:0
Aug 3, 2024 1. Liga
Marupe vs Skanste
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skanste Compare

Top Goalscorer Baltrusaitis D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scerbinskis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Penka R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Minasyan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skanste 14 / 100
Marupe 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skanste Marupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marupe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skanste's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Marupe let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Skanste remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Skanste VS Marupe
2.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Skanste

(Home)
17 Oct
Riga Mariners
4 : 3
Skanste
10 Oct
Skanste
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
20 Sept
JFK Ventspils
1 : 0
Skanste
14 Sept
RFS 2
3 : 4
Skanste
07 Sept
Riga FC 2
3 : 2
Skanste
Page 1 of 6

Marupe

(Away)
18 Oct
JFK Ventspils
0 : 0
Marupe
10 Oct
RFS 2
2 : 3
Marupe
20 Sept
Marupe
0 : 0
Riga FC 2
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 23 19 3 1 96:18 60
2 Valmiera 23 16 5 2 63:26 53
3 Leevon PPK 23 16 5 2 49:27 53
4 Riga Mariners 23 15 5 3 54:30 50
5 Alberts JDFS 23 12 5 6 46:33 41
6 Marupe 23 10 3 10 37:34 33
7 Riga FC 2 23 8 6 9 36:39 30
8 Super Nova 2 24 7 8 9 33:36 29
9 Skanste 23 8 2 13 46:48 26
10 FK Smiltene 23 5 5 13 34:61 20
11 Tukums 2000 2 24 5 4 15 31:68 19
12 RFS 2 23 5 3 15 37:65 18
13 JFK Ventspils 23 3 7 13 21:45 16
14 Rezekne 23 1 3 19 17:70 6
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