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Skanste vs Super Nova 2

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Skanste play Super Nova 2 in the Nakotnes liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Skanste averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. Super Nova 2 averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. In past meetings, Skanste won 0, Super Nova 2 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Skanste and 1.50 for Super Nova 2. This points to a Super Nova 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Skanste
22%
Draws
39%
Super Nova 2
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Super Nova 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Skanste picked up more points recently compared to Super Nova 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Skanste Clean Sheet 16%
Super Nova 2 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skanste Super Nova 2
Matches Played 29 12
Wins 13 5
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.66 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Skanste vs Super Nova 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skanste Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinkulis P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Super Nova 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Strelcovs I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skanste 38 / 100
Super Nova 2 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skanste Super Nova 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Super Nova 2 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Skanste attacking → ← attacking Super Nova 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skanste scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Super Nova 2 let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Skanste went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Super Nova 2 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 19
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FK Metta12101142:1131
2Valmiera1292132:1229
3Riga Mariners1284025:1028
4Leevon PPK1273220:1524
5Alberts JDFS1262425:2020
6Marupe1261522:1519
7Super Nova 21254319:1719
8Riga FC 21251619:2216
9Skanste1141620:2113
10RFS 21223715:269
11Tukums 2000 21222816:318
12JFK Ventspils1114612:207
13Rezekne1212910:365
14FK Smiltene1204812:334