Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skanste vs Valmiera 2

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Kalnins E.
55'
Sub
Jekabsons K. In: Belickis G.
Out: Jekabsons K.
60'
Sub
Stupelis O. In: Kizili J.
Out: Stupelis O.

AI Match Summary

Skanste in this 1. Liga 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skanste.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Skanste
30%
Draws
29%
Valmiera 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Skanste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Skanste have won more games recently than Valmiera 2.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Skanste taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Skanste Clean Sheet 19%
Valmiera 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skanste Valmiera 2
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.85 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2024 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Skanste
2:3
Jul 5, 2024 1. Liga
Skanste vs Valmiera 2
1:0
Oct 21, 2023 1. Liga
Skanste vs Valmiera 2
1:2
Jun 30, 2023 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Skanste
2:3
Sep 18, 2022 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Skanste
8:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skanste Compare

Top Goalscorer Berzins L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Valmiera 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skanste 76 / 100
Valmiera 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skanste Valmiera 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skanste Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Skanste's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Valmiera 2 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Skanste remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Skanste VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Skanste

(Home)
20 Sept
JFK Ventspils
1 : 0
Skanste
14 Sept
RFS 2
3 : 4
Skanste
07 Sept
Riga FC 2
3 : 2
Skanste
30 Aug
Skanste
6 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
23 Aug
Super Nova 2
1 : 1
Skanste
Page 1 of 7

Valmiera 2

(Away)
10 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 0
Leevon PPK
02 Nov
Valmiera 2
2 : 0
Alberts JDFS
27 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 3
Skanste
18 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 2
Riga FC 2
05 Oct
Super Nova
4 : 1
Valmiera 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Super Nova 26 21 2 3 65:11 65
2 RFS 2 26 20 3 3 71:18 63
3 Alberts JDFS 26 19 1 6 53:21 58
4 Riga FC 2 26 13 9 4 59:26 48
5 Skanste 26 12 5 9 39:28 41
6 Valmiera 2 26 10 4 12 41:39 34
7 Marupe 26 9 6 11 25:44 33
8 Leevon PPK 26 9 4 13 36:38 31
9 AFA Olaine 26 8 6 12 45:50 30
10 JFK Ventspils 26 8 6 12 32:37 30
11 Ogre United 26 7 8 11 37:44 29
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 5 4 17 25:68 19
13 FK Smiltene 26 4 5 17 24:62 17
14 Rezekne 26 3 5 18 18:84 14
Promotion - Virsliga 2025 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2024 (Relegation)