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Skara vs Vanersborgs FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Al Hamad Eriksson A.
46' Event
Granath V.
80' Event
Nikolla K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland game between Skara and Vanersborgs FK finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Skara
15%
Draws
21%
Vanersborgs FK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Skara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Skara carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Skara are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Skara here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Skara Clean Sheet 20%
Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skara Vanersborgs FK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.27 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Skara vs Vanersborgs FK
4:0
Jun 5, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Skara
1:3
Sep 20, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Skara vs Vanersborgs FK
0:0
May 2, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Skara
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skara Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Hamad Eriksson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Granath V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Vanersborgs FK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skara 85 / 100
Vanersborgs FK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skara Vanersborgs FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Skara scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Vanersborgs FK let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Skara stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skara VS Vanersborgs FK
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Skara

(Home)
17 Oct
Skara
6 : 2
Motala
09 Oct
IFK Skovde
0 : 1
Skara
03 Oct
Skara
3 : 1
Kumla
26 Sept
Grebbestad
3 : 1
Skara
19 Sept
Skara
1 : 0
Ahlafors
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Vanersborgs FK

(Away)
17 Oct
Grebbestad
2 : 3
Vanersborgs FK
08 Oct
Vanersborgs FK
3 : 3
Kumla
03 Oct
Lidkoping
1 : 0
Vanersborgs FK
26 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 3
Husqvarna
19 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 2
Tord
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 26 21 3 2 59:20 66
2 Skara 26 18 5 3 58:28 59
3 IFK Skovde 26 15 5 6 43:26 50
4 Ahlafors 26 13 7 6 62:33 46
5 Grebbestad 26 12 4 10 46:40 40
6 Stenungsunds IF 26 11 6 9 47:34 39
7 Herrestads AIF 26 10 7 9 46:49 37
8 Lidkoping 26 9 6 11 35:43 33
9 Vanersborgs FK 26 9 5 12 36:45 32
10 Kumla 26 7 8 11 29:46 29
11 Motala 26 6 8 12 38:47 26
12 Tord 26 4 10 12 30:47 22
13 Karlstad II 26 3 7 16 29:50 16
14 Vanersborgs IF 26 2 3 21 24:74 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)