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Skarphedin vs Lura

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2016 game between Skarphedin and Lura finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skarphedin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Skarphedin
20%
Draws
36%
Lura
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Skarphedin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Lura's 1.44 goals per match outpaces what Skarphedin have produced (1.4).
  • Win probability leans Lura's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Skarphedin Clean Sheet 10%
Lura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skarphedin Lura
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.4 1.44
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2016 Division 3 - Group 5
Lura vs Skarphedin
1:1
May 14, 2016 Division 3 - Group 5
Skarphedin vs Lura
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skarphedin 10 / 100
Lura 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skarphedin Lura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lura Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lura let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Skarphedin's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Skarphedin has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Skarphedin VS Lura
0 Goals Scored 1.5
9 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Skarphedin

(Home)
18 Apr
Skarphedin
0 : 9
Odds BK
22 Oct
Notodden 2
0 : 3
Skarphedin
15 Oct
Skarphedin
3 : 2
Vigor
01 Oct
Madla IL
4 : 1
Skarphedin
24 Sept
Skarphedin
0 : 1
IL Express
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Lura

(Away)
21 Oct
Lura
2 : 2
Brodd
14 Oct
Staal Jorpeland
2 : 2
Lura
06 Oct
Lura
1 : 2
Viking 2
28 Sept
Madla IL
2 : 1
Lura
23 Sept
Lura
2 : 0
Tonsberg
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