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Skedsmo vs Lillestrom 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Mon, Sep 14, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Skedsmo host Lillestrom 2 in the Division 3 - Group 5. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Skedsmo at 2.27 goals for, 1.53 against; Lillestrom 2 at 3.07 for, 2.2 against. Past meetings favor Skedsmo slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (2.44 - 2.44) back Skedsmo to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Skedsmo
15%
Draws
32%
Lillestrom 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Skedsmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Skedsmo lately — more wins on the board than Lillestrom 2.
  • Lillestrom 2 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Skedsmo Clean Sheet 10%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skedsmo Lillestrom 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 15
Draws 2 0
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.27 3.07
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Lillestrom 2 vs Skedsmo
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Division 3 - Group 3
Skedsmo vs Lillestrom 2
2:1
Jun 22, 2025 Division 3 - Group 3
Lillestrom 2 vs Skedsmo
5:0
Sep 25, 2023 Division 3 - Group 1
Lillestrom 2 vs Skedsmo
5:0
Jul 10, 2023 Division 3 - Group 1
Skedsmo vs Lillestrom 2
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skedsmo 26 / 100
Lillestrom 2 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skedsmo Lillestrom 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skedsmo found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Lillestrom 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Skedsmo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skedsmo VS Lillestrom 2
2.13 Goals Scored 3.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Skedsmo

(Home)
06 Sept
Alta
0 : 0
Skedsmo
30 Aug
Skedsmo
3 : 1
Tromso 2
16 Aug
Stromsgodset 2
0 : 1
Skedsmo
08 Aug
Skedsmo
5 : 3
Fauske Sprint
02 Aug
Skedsmo
0 : 1
Finnsnes
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Lillestrom 2

(Away)
06 Sept
Lillestrom 2
11 : 0
Bossekop
30 Aug
Finnsnes
0 : 1
Lillestrom 2
16 Aug
Lillestrom 2
3 : 4
Harstad
10 Aug
Skjetten
2 : 1
Lillestrom 2
03 Aug
Lillestrom 2
4 : 5
Kongsvinger 2
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