Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Strand P.
Assist: Holm O. T.
49'
49'
Nasberg I.
Assist: Lange C.
54'
54'
Rajkovic G.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-4. The second leg ended 1-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valerenga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Valerenga carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Valerenga a 39% chance of winning this.
- Valerenga arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Valerenga, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Valerenga have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Skeid Clean Sheet 10%
Valerenga Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Skeid | Valerenga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.04 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2026 NM Cup
Skeid vs Valerenga
1:4
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Valerenga vs Skeid
5:2
May 9, 2018 NM Cup
Skeid vs Valerenga
1:2
May 9, 2012 NM Cup
Skeid vs Valerenga
0:3
Feb 18, 2011 Club Friendly
Valerenga vs Skeid
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Skeid Compare
Top Goalscorer Odemarksbakken K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Valerenga Compare
Top Goalscorer Strand P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nasberg I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Skeid 10 / 100
Valerenga 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Skeid Valerenga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Valerenga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Valerenga conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.
Skeid found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Skeid went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Skeid VS Valerenga
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Skeid
(Home) 20 Sept
Skeid
0 : 6 Tromsdalen (TUIL)
17 Sept
Skeid
1 : 4 Valerenga
13 Sept
Junkeren
1 : 0 Skeid
05 Sept
Skeid
4 : 1 Kjelsas
30 Aug
Trygg/Lade
1 : 1 Skeid
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Skeid
0 : 6 Tromsdalen (TUIL)
17 Sept
Skeid
1 : 4 Valerenga
05 Sept
Skeid
4 : 1 Kjelsas
16 Aug
Skeid
0 : 5 Levanger
01 Aug
Skeid
1 : 5 Grorud
Page 1 of 3
Valerenga
(Away) 20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1 Fredrikstad
17 Sept
Skeid
1 : 4 Valerenga
12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0 Valerenga
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2 Valerenga
30 Aug
Valerenga
3 : 4 Molde
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Skeid
1 : 4 Valerenga
12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0 Valerenga
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2 Valerenga
23 Aug
Christiania BK
2 : 7 Valerenga
16 Aug
Aalesund
5 : 5 Valerenga
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Baerum 4
Mjondalen 0
Aurskog/Finstadbru 0
Lillestrom 3
Froya 0
Sotra 6
Fjora 0
Sogndal 8
Tynset 0
Trygg/Lade 3
Midsund 0
Molde 11
Asker 7
Kvik Halden 0
Modum 0
Stromsgodset 6
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Vag 2
Egersund 5
Fana 1
Bjarg 3
Rosseland 0
Bryne 3
Volda 2
Brattvag 6
Tronder-Lyn 0
Kristiansund 5
Floro 2
Forde 4
Langevag 0
Aalesund 13
Froland 1
Arendal 5
Varhaug 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Stalkam 2
Rana FK 3
Fauske Sprint 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
Askoy 1
Sandviken 2
Arna-Bjornar 0
Asane 1
Rollon 0
Traeff 7
Spjelkavik 1
Hodd 2
Strindheim 0
Levanger 8
Steinkjer 0
Ranheim 6
Melhus 0
Stjordals Blink 3
Eidsvold IF 1
Fredrikstad 7
Madla IL 3
Vidar 2
Brodd 1
Viking 3
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Honefoss 4
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 4
Elverum 7
Ull/Kisa 6
Ridabu 0
Raufoss 4
Vindbjart 2
Flekkeroy 1
Flekkefjord 1
Start 2
Bossekop 1
Alta 2
Ulfstind 0
Tromso 5
Nord 0
Djerv 1919 4
V. Haugesund 3
Haugesund 4
Assiden 0
Notodden 4
Teie 0
Odds BK 10
Flint 2
Orn 0
Eidanger 0
Sandefjord 15
Uradd 0
Pors 3
Heming 0
Stabaek 2
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Eidsvold TF 7
Skreia 2
Kongsvinger 14
Harstad 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1
Lillehammer 2
Strommen 4
Gamle Oslo 6
Drobak-Frogn 1
Grei 0
Lyn 4
Floya 5
Junkeren 3
Nationalkameratene 0
Rosenborg 9
Frigg 0
Kjelsas 4
Trysil 0
Ham-Kam 5
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Grorud 5
Lorenskog 0
Moss 3
OS TF 2
Lysekloster 0
Fyllingen 0
Brann 4
Rade 1
Follo 2
Sparta Sarpsborg 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Nordstrand 1
Skeid 4
Christiania BK 2
Valerenga 7
1/32-finals
Baerum -
Lillestrom -
Sotra 1
Sogndal 2
Trygg/Lade 0
Molde 5
Asker 1
Stromsgodset 4
Jerv 1
Egersund 2
Bjarg 1
Bryne 4
Brattvag 1
Kristiansund 2
Forde 3
Aalesund 4
Arendal 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Rana FK -
Bodo/Glimt -
Sandviken 2
Asane 3
Traeff 0
Hodd 3
Levanger 0
Ranheim 2
Stjordals Blink 0
Fredrikstad 1
Madla IL -
Viking -
Honefoss -
KFUM Oslo -
Elverum 0
Raufoss 3
Vindbjart 2
Start 3
Alta 1
Tromso 2
Djerv 1919 0
Haugesund 4
Notodden 2
Odds BK 3
Flint -
Sandefjord -
Pors 2
Stabaek 1
Eidsvold TF 2
Kongsvinger 3
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9
Strommen 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Lyn 3
Floya 1
Rosenborg 4
Kjelsas 0
Ham-Kam 2
Grorud 2
Moss 1
OS TF 1
Brann 2
Follo -
Sarpsborg 08 -
Skeid 1
Valerenga 4
1/16-finals
TBD -
Sogndal -
Molde -
Stromsgodset -
Egersund -
Bryne -
Kristiansund -
Aalesund -
Sandnes Ulf -
TBD -
Asane -
Hodd -
Ranheim -
Fredrikstad -
TBD -
TBD -
Raufoss -
Start -
Tromso -
Haugesund -
Odds BK -
TBD -
Pors -
Kongsvinger -
Tromsdalen (TUIL) -
Lyn -
Rosenborg -
Ham-Kam -
Grorud -
Brann -
TBD -
Valerenga -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
