Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skenderbeu Korca vs KF Tirana

Albania Albania

Abissnet Superiore Skënderbeu Stadium, Korçë
Sat, Sep 12, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Skenderbeu Korca host KF Tirana in the Abissnet Superiore. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Skenderbeu Korca have averaged 1.25 scored and 0.25 conceded recently, against KF Tirana's 1.63 scored and 0.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Skenderbeu Korca have won 0 to KF Tirana's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 10, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 0.94) point toward Skenderbeu Korca. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Skenderbeu Korca
28%
Draws
50%
KF Tirana
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: KF Tirana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Skenderbeu Korca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives KF Tirana a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Abissnet Superiore form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Skenderbeu Korca Clean Sheet 20%
KF Tirana Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skenderbeu Korca KF Tirana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Albanian Cup
KF Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korca
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
Skenderbeu Korca vs KF Tirana
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
KF Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korca
1:0
Dec 5, 2024 Abissnet Superiore
Skenderbeu Korca vs KF Tirana
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Abissnet Superiore
KF Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korca
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skenderbeu Korca 24 / 100
KF Tirana 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skenderbeu Korca KF Tirana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skenderbeu Korca's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

KF Tirana has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Skenderbeu Korca went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skenderbeu Korca VS KF Tirana
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Skenderbeu Korca

(Home)
26 Jul
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 2
Partizani
17 Jul
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 1
Struga
04 May
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 1
Laci
25 Apr
Pogradeci
1 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
19 Apr
Skenderbeu Korca
4 : 0
Kastrioti
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KF Tirana

(Away)
10 May
AF Elbasani
1 : 3
KF Tirana
06 May
KF Tirana
1 : 0
Vllaznia
02 May
Teuta
0 : 1
KF Tirana
25 Apr
KF Tirana
2 : 1
Partizani
18 Apr
Dinamo Tirana
1 : 1
KF Tirana
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Partizani00000:00
2Vllaznia00000:00
3KF Tirana00000:00
4Dinamo Tirana00000:00
5Teuta00000:00
6Skenderbeu Korca00000:00
7Laci00000:00
8KF Egnatia00000:00
9Vora00000:00
10AF Elbasani00000:00
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Championship Group)
Relegation - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation Group)