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Skenderbeu Korca vs KF Tirana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Abissnet Superiore Skënderbeu Stadium, Korçë
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Ndong B.
46'
Sub
Nasr S. In: Totre E.
Out: Nasr S.
46'
Sub
Grazhdani K. In: Shaqe K.
Out: Grazhdani K.

AI Match Summary

The Abissnet Superiore game between Skenderbeu Korca and KF Tirana finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Skenderbeu Korca
35%
Draws
32%
KF Tirana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Skenderbeu Korca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Skenderbeu Korca a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Abissnet Superiore form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Skenderbeu Korca Clean Sheet 16%
KF Tirana Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skenderbeu Korca KF Tirana
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.34 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
Skenderbeu Korca vs KF Tirana
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 Albanian Cup
KF Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korca
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
Skenderbeu Korca vs KF Tirana
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
KF Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korca
1:0
Dec 5, 2024 Abissnet Superiore
Skenderbeu Korca vs KF Tirana
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skenderbeu Korca Compare

Top Goalscorer Musa B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

KF Tirana Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndong B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skenderbeu Korca 41 / 100
KF Tirana 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skenderbeu Korca KF Tirana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skenderbeu Korca's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

KF Tirana has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Skenderbeu Korca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skenderbeu Korca VS KF Tirana
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Skenderbeu Korca

(Home)
10 Oct
Teuta
2 : 0
Skenderbeu Korca
06 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca
4 : 1
Kucove
19 Sept
Vora
1 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
11 Sept
Skenderbeu Korca
1 : 1
KF Tirana
04 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
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KF Tirana

(Away)
20 Sept
KF Tirana
2 : 2
AF Elbasani
11 Sept
Skenderbeu Korca
1 : 1
KF Tirana
06 Sept
KF Tirana
4 : 0
Vora
30 Aug
Teuta
3 : 1
KF Tirana
23 Aug
KF Egnatia
3 : 0
KF Tirana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teuta 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
2 KF Egnatia 5 4 0 1 11:5 12
3 Dinamo City 5 4 0 1 10:5 12
4 Laci 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
5 AF Elbasani 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
6 KF Tirana 5 1 2 2 8:9 5
7 Partizani 5 1 1 3 7:10 4
8 Vora 5 1 1 3 3:10 4
9 Skenderbeu Korca 5 0 3 2 5:7 3
10 Vllaznia 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Championship Group)
Relegation - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation Group)