Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skenderbeu Korca vs Lushnja

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 Skënderbeu Stadium, Korçë
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Shaqe K.
64' Event
Beshiraj M.

AI Match Summary

Skenderbeu Korca in this Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skenderbeu Korca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Skenderbeu Korca
35%
Draws
37%
Lushnja
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lushnja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Skenderbeu Korca lately — more wins on the board than Lushnja.
  • Win probability leans Skenderbeu Korca's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Skenderbeu Korca Clean Sheet 68%
Lushnja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skenderbeu Korca Lushnja
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.44 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Skenderbeu Korca vs Lushnja
2:0
Nov 28, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Skenderbeu Korca vs Lushnja
4:3
Aug 31, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Skenderbeu Korca
1:1
May 18, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Skenderbeu Korca
0:0
Jan 28, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Skenderbeu Korca vs Lushnja
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skenderbeu Korca Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaqe K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beshiraj M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Lushnja Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skenderbeu Korca 77 / 100
Lushnja 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skenderbeu Korca Lushnja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skenderbeu Korca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skenderbeu Korca scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Lushnja conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Skenderbeu Korca remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Skenderbeu Korca VS Lushnja
1 Goals Scored 0.6
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.8
50% Over 1.5 60%
13% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Skenderbeu Korca

(Home)
19 Sept
Vora
1 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
11 Sept
Skenderbeu Korca
1 : 1
KF Tirana
04 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
31 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 1
Dinamo City
21 Aug
Vllaznia
2 : 2
Skenderbeu Korca
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Lushnja

(Away)
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4
Kastrioti
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3
Iliria Kruja
11 Apr
Besa Kavaje
0 : 0
Lushnja
04 Apr
Lushnja
2 : 1
Korabi Peshkopi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)