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Skenderbeu Korca vs Terbuni Puka Prediction & H2H Stats

Albania Albania

First Division 2022/2023 Skënderbeu Stadium, Korçë
Skenderbeu Korca Logo

Skenderbeu Korca

2 - 0
FT
Terbuni Puka Logo

Terbuni Puka

Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Lico D.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Abubakari S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Skenderbeu Korca in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skenderbeu Korca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Skenderbeu Korca
30%
Draws
0%
Terbuni Puka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Skenderbeu Korca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Skenderbeu Korca lately — more wins on the board than Terbuni Puka.
  • Win probability leans Skenderbeu Korca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Skenderbeu Korca Clean Sheet 68%
Terbuni Puka Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skenderbeu Korca Terbuni Puka
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 22 7
Draws 9 4
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.68 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Skenderbeu Korca vs Terbuni Puka
2:0
Sep 3, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Skenderbeu Korca
1:1
Apr 16, 2016 Abissnet Superiore
Skenderbeu Korca vs Terbuni Puka
2:3
Feb 13, 2016 Abissnet Superiore
Terbuni Puka vs Skenderbeu Korca
1:3
Nov 22, 2015 Abissnet Superiore
Skenderbeu Korca vs Terbuni Puka
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skenderbeu Korca Compare

Top Goalscorer Abubakari S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Terbuni Puka Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skenderbeu Korca 95 / 100
Terbuni Puka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skenderbeu Korca Terbuni Puka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skenderbeu Korca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skenderbeu Korca found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (37 games).

Defensive concern: Terbuni Puka conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Terbuni Puka lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skenderbeu Korca VS Terbuni Puka
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Skenderbeu Korca

(Home)
19 Sept
Vora
1 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
11 Sept
Skenderbeu Korca
1 : 1
KF Tirana
04 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
31 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 1
Dinamo City
21 Aug
Vllaznia
2 : 2
Skenderbeu Korca
Page 1 of 8

Terbuni Puka

(Away)
15 Oct
Kukesi
3 : 1
Terbuni Puka
16 Oct
Besa Kavaje
4 : 3
Terbuni Puka
18 Oct
Terbuni Puka
2 : 4
Vora
13 May
Terbuni Puka
0 : 3
KF Oriku
06 May
Dinamo City
3 : 0
Terbuni Puka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skenderbeu Korca 26 13 10 3 37:13 49
2 Dinamo City 26 14 5 7 48:23 47
3 Flamurtari 26 13 7 6 40:16 46
4 Tomori Berat 26 13 4 9 29:27 43
5 Korabi Peshkopi 26 10 9 7 32:24 39
6 Apolonia Fier 26 10 8 8 31:30 38
7 Luzi 26 10 8 8 31:26 38
8 Besa Kavaje 26 10 7 9 32:26 37
9 Lushnja 26 8 8 10 30:42 32
10 Burreli 26 7 10 9 22:29 31
11 KF Oriku 26 9 3 14 27:33 30
12 Turbina Cerrik 26 7 5 14 24:45 26
13 Beselidhja Lezha 26 3 8 15 17:41 14
14 Terbuni Puka 26 6 6 14 16:41 24
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2022/2023 (Relegation)