Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skjetten W vs Aalesund W

Norway Norway

Division 1 Women 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aalesund W is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Skjetten W, backed by a win probability of 59%. Skjetten W averages 1.5 goals scored and 2.1 conceded in recent matches. Aalesund W shows a form average of 2.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Skjetten W, 1 wins for Aalesund W, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 15.09.07 ended in a 7:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.97 for Skjetten W and 1.43 for Aalesund W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Aalesund W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Skjetten W
15%
Draws
59%
Aalesund W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalesund W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Skjetten W picked up more points recently compared to Aalesund W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Skjetten W Clean Sheet 17%
Aalesund W Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skjetten W Aalesund W
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 5 24
Draws 5 2
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.5 2.87
Goals Conceded 2.11 0.9

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

15.09.07 Division 1 Women
Aalesund W vs Skjetten W
7:0
09.06.07 Division 1 Women
Skjetten W vs Aalesund W
1:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Skjetten W

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Aalesund W

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skjetten W 27 / 100
Aalesund W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skjetten W Aalesund W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aalesund W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Aalesund W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Aalesund W will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Skjetten W 29%
Aalesund W 47%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Skjetten W will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Aalesund W's early runs.

Skjetten W 25%
Aalesund W 62%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Aalesund W to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Skjetten W tries to push forward.

Skjetten W 26%
Aalesund W 59%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will see Aalesund W increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Skjetten W 27%
Aalesund W 56%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Skjetten W's defense, opening up opportunities for Aalesund W's forward line.

Skjetten W 23%
Aalesund W 65%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect Aalesund W to manage the closing stages, while Skjetten W searches for late drama.

Skjetten W 30%
Aalesund W 68%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Skjetten W attacking → ← attacking Aalesund W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skjetten W have found the net in 72% of their last 18 matches.

Aalesund W have conceded at least one goal in 57% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.50 goals per match.

Skjetten W remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Aalesund W suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 74
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fart W1895428:2232
2Larvik W18710134:1531
3Manglerud Star W1886430:2030
4Aalesund W1883731:2327
5Medkila W1876524:1627
6Haugar W1872935:4123
7Donn W1872923:3223
8Grei W1863923:2621
9Skjetten W1855827:3820
10Tromsdalen W18341117:3913