Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skofja Loka vs Bistrc

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bistrc in this 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bistrc.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Skofja Loka
30%
Draws
23%
Bistrc
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Skofja Loka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Skofja Loka lately — more wins on the board than Bistrc.
  • Win probability leans Skofja Loka's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Bistrc here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Skofja Loka Clean Sheet 13%
Bistrc Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skofja Loka Bistrc
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.53 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.45 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 3. SNL - West
Skofja Loka vs Bistrc
3:4
Nov 2, 2025 3. SNL - West
Bistrc vs Skofja Loka
3:1
May 24, 2025 3. SNL - West
Skofja Loka vs Bistrc
0:1
Nov 9, 2024 3. SNL - West
Bistrc vs Skofja Loka
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skofja Loka 84 / 100
Bistrc 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skofja Loka Bistrc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skofja Loka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skofja Loka's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bistrc has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Skofja Loka remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Skofja Loka VS Bistrc
1.75 Goals Scored 1.29
2 Goals Conceded 3.14
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Skofja Loka

(Home)
12 Sept
Skofja Loka
3 : 2
IB 1975 Ljubljana
05 Sept
Tolmin
2 : 2
Skofja Loka
29 Aug
Skofja Loka
1 : 1
Sencur
22 Aug
Dob
4 : 0
Skofja Loka
15 Aug
Skofja Loka
5 : 0
Fama Vipava
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Bistrc

(Away)
23 May
Bistrc
3 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
16 May
Skofja Loka
3 : 4
Bistrc
09 May
Bistrc
1 : 3
IB 1975 Ljubljana
02 May
Izola
5 : 0
Bistrc
25 Apr
Bistrc
0 : 3
Vrhnika
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)