Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Skofja Loka vs Tolmin

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 game between Skofja Loka and Tolmin finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tolmin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Skofja Loka
35%
Draws
37%
Tolmin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tolmin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Tolmin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tolmin's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Skofja Loka Clean Sheet 10%
Tolmin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skofja Loka Tolmin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Skofja Loka
2:2
May 2, 2026 3. SNL - West
Skofja Loka vs Tolmin
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Skofja Loka
0:2
Nov 13, 2022 3. SNL - West
Skofja Loka vs Tolmin
0:5
Aug 13, 2022 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Skofja Loka
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skofja Loka 26 / 100
Tolmin 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skofja Loka Tolmin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tolmin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skofja Loka found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Tolmin has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Skofja Loka stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Skofja Loka VS Tolmin
2.13 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Skofja Loka

(Home)
20 Sept
Skofja Loka
1 : 1
Ziri
12 Sept
Skofja Loka
3 : 2
IB 1975 Ljubljana
05 Sept
Tolmin
2 : 2
Skofja Loka
29 Aug
Skofja Loka
1 : 1
Sencur
22 Aug
Dob
4 : 0
Skofja Loka
Page 1 of 6

Tolmin

(Away)
19 Sept
Tolmin
0 : 1
Izola
13 Sept
Ziri
2 : 4
Tolmin
05 Sept
Tolmin
2 : 2
Skofja Loka
29 Aug
Tolmin
1 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
22 Aug
Sencur
3 : 3
Tolmin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)