Sport Picks

Latvia

Virslīga 2014 Skonto stadions

FC Daugava Daugavpils

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Skonto play FC Daugava Daugavpils in the Virslīga 2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Skonto averaged 2.94 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. FC Daugava Daugavpils averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Skonto won 5, FC Daugava Daugavpils won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 4, 2014 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.79 for Skonto and 0.88 for FC Daugava Daugavpils. This points to a Skonto double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Skonto

15%

Draws

35%

FC Daugava Daugavpils

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Skonto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Skonto picked up more points recently compared to FC Daugava Daugavpils.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.79 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Skonto Clean Sheet 25%

FC Daugava Daugavpils Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Skonto	FC Daugava Daugavpils
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	20	14
Draws	2	8
Losses	11	8
Goals Scored	2.94	1.4
Goals Conceded	1.27	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2014 Virsliga

FC Daugava Daugavpils vs Skonto

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Aug 1, 2014 Virsliga

Skonto vs FC Daugava Daugavpils

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Jun 10, 2014 Virsliga

FC Daugava Daugavpils vs Skonto

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

0:4

May 10, 2014 Virsliga

Skonto vs FC Daugava Daugavpils

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Apr 23, 2014 Latvian Cup

Skonto vs FC Daugava Daugavpils

Possession: 56% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Skonto Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutkovskis V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 3.37

Avg xA / game 2.19

FC Daugava Daugavpils Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skonto 50 / 100

FC Daugava Daugavpils 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Skonto FC Daugava Daugavpils

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Skonto or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Skonto attacking → ← attacking FC Daugava Daugavpils

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skonto scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

FC Daugava Daugavpils let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Skonto went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Daugava Daugavpils lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 50

4.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ventspils	36	26	5	5	75:20	83
2	Skonto	36	25	1	10	77:34	71
3	Jelgava	36	20	10	6	57:27	70
4	FK Liepaja	36	21	3	12	72:45	66
5	FC Daugava Daugavpils	36	19	8	9	53:39	65
6	Spartaks Jurmala	36	14	9	13	38:32	51
7	FK Daugava Riga	36	13	4	19	48:64	43
8	BFC Daugavpils	36	8	5	23	30:65	29
9	FK Metta	36	3	7	26	26:69	16
10	FC Jurmala	36	2	6	28	29:110	7