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Skonto vs FK Daugava Riga Prediction & H2H Stats

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League Cup 2015 Skonto stadions, Riga
Mon, Jan 19, 2015
VS
11:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the League Cup 2015. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Skonto at 3.09 goals for, 1.36 against; FK Daugava Riga at 1.42 for, 1.92 against. Head-to-head, Skonto have won 4 to FK Daugava Riga's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 19, 2015, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.79 xG vs 0.88) point toward Skonto. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Skonto
15%
Draws
0%
FK Daugava Riga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Skonto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Skonto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Skonto have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Skonto, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Skonto have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Skonto Clean Sheet 68%
FK Daugava Riga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Skonto FK Daugava Riga
Matches Played 33 24
Wins 20 9
Draws 2 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 3.09 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 2.79 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2015 League Cup
Skonto vs FK Daugava Riga
0:0
Nov 8, 2014 Virsliga
Skonto vs FK Daugava Riga
4:1
Aug 22, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs Skonto
1:2
Jun 25, 2014 Virsliga
Skonto vs FK Daugava Riga
5:1
May 6, 2014 Virsliga
FK Daugava Riga vs Skonto
1:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Skonto 41 / 100
FK Daugava Riga 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Skonto FK Daugava Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skonto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skonto's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: FK Daugava Riga registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

FK Daugava Riga has conceded goals in 78% of their last 23 outings.

Scoring Trends

Skonto VS -
4.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Skonto

(Home)
05 Nov
Skonto
0 : 3
AFA Olaine
29 Oct
Skonto
5 : 1
Preilu BJSS
22 Oct
FK Auda Riga
3 : 2
Skonto
16 Oct
SK Babite
4 : 3
Skonto
28 Sept
Skonto
3 : 2
RTU
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FK Daugava Riga

(Away)
04 Apr
Jelgava
:
FK Daugava Riga
08 Nov
Skonto
4 : 1
FK Daugava Riga
01 Nov
FK Daugava Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
26 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
1 : 0
FK Daugava Riga
20 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
2 : 4
FK Liepaja
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